Monday, March 20, 2023

Warriors vs. Lakers prediction, odds, line, spread: 2022 NBA picks, Feb. 12 best bets from model on 65-36 run

The Golden State Warriors and Los Angeles Lakers square off in a spotlight matchup on Saturday evening. The Western Conference rivals match up at Chase Center in San Francisco, and both teams aim to stop two-game losing streaks. The Warriors are 41-15 this season with a 25-5 home record. The Lakers are 26-30 overall and 9-17 in road games. Draymond Green (back), Andre Iguodala (back) and James Wiseman (knee) are out for Golden State. LeBron James (knee) and Russell Westbrook (back) are listed as questionable for Los Angeles, with Carmelo Anthony (hamstring) and Kendrick Nunn (knee) ruled out.

Tipoff is at 8:30 p.m. ET in San Francisco. Golden State is listed as a seven-point home favorite, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 224.5 in the latest Lakers vs. Warriors odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Before making any Warriors vs. Lakers picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 17 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 65-36 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning almost $2,400. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Lakers vs. Warriors, and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA betting lines and trends for Warriors vs. Lakers:

  • Lakers vs. Warriors spread: Warriors -7
  • Lakers vs. Warriors over-under: 224.5 points
  • Lakers vs. Warriors money line: Warriors -300, Lakers +240
  • LAL: The Lakers are 12-14 against the spread in road games
  • GSW: The Warriors are 17-11-2 against the spread in home games

Featured Game | Golden State Warriors vs. Los Angeles Lakers

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Why the Lakers can cover

The Lakers should benefit from Golden State’s biggest weakness. The Warriors are No. 29 in the NBA in turnovers per game on offense, with that lack of ball security leading to Los Angeles potentially benefiting in transition. The Lakers are No. 4 in the league in fast-break points, averaging 14.6 points per game, and Los Angeles is set up well to take advantage of this edge. Los Angeles is in the top eight of the NBA in field-goal percentage, 2-point percentage and free-throw attempts, with a top-10 mark in points in the paint. 

On defense, the Lakers are adept at forcing turnovers, creating 14.6 per game to rank in the top 10 of the NBA. Los Angeles is also blocking 5.6 shots per game, landing near the top of the league, and producing 8.0 steals per game. The Warriors are No. 24 in the NBA in free-throw prevention, with the Lakers able to put pressure on the rim and create increased efficiency at the line.

Why the Warriors can cover

The Warriors have the NBA’s best defense, and it is even better at home. Golden State is allowing only 1.01 points per possession at Chase Center, with opponents scoring fewer than 1.04 points per possession overall. That defensive efficiency leads the NBA, with the Warriors holding the opposition to 50.1 percent shooting on two-point attempts and 33.1 percent shooting on 3-point attempts. Golden State is No. 3 in the league in assists allowed, giving up only 22.3 per game, and the Warriors are in the top four in points allowed in the paint and steals per game. 

Golden State forces more than 15 turnovers per game, and the Warriors also secure more than 73 percent of available rebounds on the defensive glass. Los Angeles has issues in key areas on offense, including bottom-five marks in turnovers and free-throw percentage, and Golden State is also tremendous in a few offensive categories. The Warriors are No. 2 in the league in assists, No. 3 in 2-point accuracy, No. 4 in 3-point accuracy, and No. 6 in fast-break points per game.

How to make Warriors vs. Lakers picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, projecting 219 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits almost 70 percent of the time. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Lakers vs. Warriors? And which side of the spread hits almost 70 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.  

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