Saturday, September 30, 2023

Longwood vs. North Carolina A&T prediction, odds, line: Big South Tournament picks, best bets from top model

The 2022 Big South Conference Tournament continues on Friday with an interesting slate of quarterfinal matchups. In the day’s opening tilt, the top-seeded Longwood Lancers take on the North Carolina A&T Aggies. Longwood is 23-6 overall this season and 15-1 in Big South action. North Carolina A&T is 12-19 overall and 7-10 in matchups against conference foes, including a win over Radford in the opening round. 

Tip-off is at 12 p.m. ET in Charlotte. Longwood is listed as a 7.5-point favorite, while the Over-Under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 138.5 in the latest North Carolina A&T vs. Longwood odds. Before you make any North Carolina A&T vs. Longwood picks, you need to see the college basketball predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s advanced computer simulation model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of over $1,700 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on North Carolina A&T vs. Longwood, and just locked in its picks and CBB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Now, here are several college basketball odds and betting lines for North Carolina A&T vs. Longwood:

  • North Carolina A&T vs. Longwood spread: Longwood -7.5 
  • North Carolina A&T vs. Longwood over-under: 138.5 points 
  • NCAT: The Aggies are 5-3 against the spread in the last 8 games 
  • LNG: The Lancers are 7-5 against the spread in the last 12 games

Why North Carolina A&T can cover

North Carolina A&T has a win over Longwood under its belt and plenty of statistical strengths. The Aggies lead the Big South in offensive rebounding this season, pulling down 31.7 percent of missed shots. North Carolina A&T is also above the Big South average in turnover rate at 18.0 percent, and the Aggies should benefit from a Longwood defense that is near the bottom of the conference in two-point shooting allowed (53.9 percent) and block rate. 

The Aggies also force a turnover on 19.3 percent of defensive trips, well above the Big South average, and that includes an impressive 10.0 percent steal rate. Longwood is making only 48.1 percent of two-point shots, No. 9 in the Big South, and 10.6 percent of Longwood’s shots have been blocked during conference play.

Why Longwood can cover

Longwood has only one loss since Dec. 22, indicating an overall dominance by the Lancers in conference play. While Longwood is very good on defense, leading the Big South in free throw prevention and steal rate, the Lancers are even better on offense. Longwood leads the Big South in adjusted offensive efficiency, and is No. 1 in the conference in three-point accuracy at 38.7 percent.

 Longwood is No. 1 in avoiding live-ball turnovers with opponents producing a steal on only 8.1 percent of possessions, and the Lancers are No. 2 in turnover rate at 17.4 percent. Longwood is No. 2 in the conference in offensive rebound rate at 31.5 percent, and firmly in the top three of the Big South in both free throw creation rate and free throw accuracy (74.9 percent). North Carolina A&T is only No. 10 in the Big South in defensive efficiency, and Longwood has edges to exploit. 

How to make North Carolina A&T vs. Longwood picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, with 11 players projected to score at least seven points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the model’s Longwood vs. North Carolina A&T pick at SportsLine.

So who wins North Carolina A&T vs. Longwood? And which side of the spread hits in over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the North Carolina A&T vs. Longwood spread you need to jump on Friday, all from the model that has crushed its college basketball picks, and find out. 

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