The Miami Heat will take on the Cleveland Cavaliers at 8 p.m. ET Friday at FTX Arena. Miami is 44-23 overall and 23-8 at home, while Cleveland is 38-27 overall and 18-16 on the road. Miami is currently the No. 1 seed in the Eastern Conference while Cleveland is the No. 6 seed.
The two teams are trending in different directions against the spread of late, with the Cavaliers covering three of their last nine games while the Heat are 5-1 ATS in their last six. Miami is favored by 6.5 points in the latest Heat vs. Cavaliers odds from Caesars Sportsbook and the over-under is set at 211.5. Before entering any Cavaliers vs. Heat picks, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 20 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 74-47 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning almost $2,100. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
- Heat vs. Cavaliers spread: Heat -6.5
- Heat vs. Cavaliers over-under: 211.5 points
Featured Game | Miami Heat vs. Cleveland Cavaliers
What you need to know about the Heat
The Heat’s and the Phoenix Suns‘ game on Wednesday was up for grabs at halftime, but Miami was thoroughly outmatched 54-35 in the second half. Miami suffered a grim 111-90 defeat to Phoenix. Point guard Gabe Vincent just could not get things rolling his way, finishing with only five points on 2-for-10 shooting in his 29 minutes on the court.
Jimmy Butler was unable to play in that game because of sinus congestion but the hope is that he’ll be back on the floor in Miami on Friday night. Butler is averaging 21.4 points, 6.2 rebounds, 5.7 assists and 1.8 steals per game and that productivity will be needed as the Heat look to stave off a wave of challengers for home-court advantage in the East.
What you need to know about the Cavaliers
Meanwhile, it was all tied up 63-63 at the half for the Cavaliers and the Indiana Pacers on Tuesday, but Cleveland stepped up in the second half for a 127-124 win. Cleveland’s point guard Darius Garland did his thing and posted a double-double with 41 points and 13 dimes to go along with five rebounds.
Garland has become the man in the Cleveland backcourt with Collin Sexton (knee) out for the season and he’s having to carry an even larger load with Caris LeVert (foot) out. Jarrett Allen (finger) is also out for the Cavaliers so Evan Mobley establishing himself down low will also be critical. The rookie is averaging 14.8 points, 8.2 rebounds and 1.7 blocks per game and is a leading candidate for NBA Rookie of the Year.
How to make Cavaliers vs. Heat picks
The model has simulated Heat vs. Cavs 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning over and it also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Heat vs. Cavaliers? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to find out, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks.