Thursday, December 7, 2023

Arkansas vs. Texas A&M prediction, odds, line, spread: 2022 SEC Tournament picks, best bets from proven model

The Texas A&M Aggies are making a late surge for an NCAA Tournament bid, but they face another stern test against the No. 15 Arkansas Razorbacks in a 2022 SEC Tournament semifinal Saturday. The eighth-seeded Aggies (22-11) are firmly on the bubble after stunning top-seeded Auburn 67-62 at Tampa’s Amalie Arena on Friday. A win against No. 4 seed Arkansas (25-7), which eased past LSU 79-67 in Friday’s other early quarterfinal, could be the ticket to an at-large bid. Of course, it would also put a tournament title in their sights. The Razorbacks have won six of their past seven, losing a rematch with a ranked Tennessee squad two weeks after beating the Vols. Texas A&M has won six in a row, knocking off then-No. 25 Alabama on the road 10 days ago and beating Florida before pulling the upset in the quarterfinal.

Tipoff is set for 1 p.m. ET at Amalie Arena in Tampa, Fla. The Razorbacks are 6.5-point favorites in the latest Texas A&M vs. Arkansas odds at Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is set at 139. Before locking in any Arkansas vs. Texas A&M picks, be sure to check out the college basketball predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of almost $1,600 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Arkansas vs. Texas A&M and revealed its coveted picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine to see all of the model’s college basketball picks. Here are several college basketball odds and trends for Texas A&M vs. Arkansas:

  • Texas A&M vs. Arkansas spread: Razorbacks -6.5
  • Texas A&M vs. Arkansas over-under: 139 points
  • Texas A&M vs. Arkansas money line: Aggies +230, Razorbacks -280
  • TAMU: It is 7-1 ATS in its past eight games.
  • ARJ: It has covered in 11 of its past 13

Featured Game | Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Texas A&M Aggies

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Why Arkansas can cover

Arkansas has covered the spread in 11 of its past 13 games and is 13-6 ATS in conference games this season. The 78-74 loss to the No. 13 Tennessee followed a 58-48 win against the then-16th-ranked Vols on Feb. 19. The Razorbacks also have beaten then-No. 1 Auburn and a 16th-ranked Kentucky team in the past 32 days. Arkansas averages 77.3 points per game, fourth-most in the SEC, and outscores opponents by more than nine per game. The Aggies score 72.5 and have a plus-4.8 scoring margin.

The Razorbacks have six players who average at least eight points, led by guard JD Notae, who is second in the SEC at 18.9 per game. He also leads the team with 3.6 assists per contest and gets 2.2 steals, tied for most in the conference. Stanley Umude averages 11.7 points and is a 36.2-percent 3-point shooter, and Notae ranks sixth in the SEC with 67 threes made. Jaylin Williams scores 10.8 points and is second in the SEC in rebounds (9.6) and blocks 1.7 shots. Arkansas is 16-8 ATS after a victory this season.

Why Texas A&M can cover

Texas A&M is 5-2 ATS this season against ranked opponents. It has been on quite a run, and it has performed well against the Razorbacks in the two regular-season meetings. They won the first matchup 86-81 at home on Jan. 8 then pushed the rematch in Fayetteville to overtime before falling 76-73. The last matchup was virtually even, but the Aggies shot over 56 percent overall and above 42 on 3-pointers in the victory. Quenton Jackson had 29 points over the two meetings and is A&M’s top scorer at 14.5 per game.

Jackson is part of a strong trio that includes Tyrece Radford (10.5 points per game) and forward Henry Coleman (11). Radford hit five of his six 3-point tries and scored 19 on Friday, while Coleman had 16 points and 10 rebounds. Jackson had 17 points and two blocks. He averages a team-best 1.7 steals, helping the Aggies ranked second in the SEC with 10.5 per game. A&M holds opponents to 42.4 percent shooting (113th in Division I), and Auburn shot just 30.4 percent Friday. The Aggies are 10-5 ATS this season as an underdog.

How to make Texas A&M vs. Arkansas picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 142 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Arkansas vs. Texas A&M? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college basketball picks, and find out.

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