Saturday, May 21, 2022

Tennessee vs. Texas A&M prediction, odds, spread: 2022 SEC Tournament final picks, bets from proven model

It will be a battle of teams on impressive runs when the Texas A&M Aggies take on the No. 11 Tennessee Volunteers in the 2022 SEC Tournament final on Sunday. The Aggies (23-11) overwhelmed 15th-ranked Arkansas in an 82-64 semifinal victory that likely locked up an NCAA Tournament bid. A&M has won seven straight games, but it would prefer the automatic bid that would come with a win against the equally red-hot Vols. Tennessee (25-7) has won six in a row and 11 of its last 12, and it held off a determined No. 5 Kentucky team in its semifinal to take a 69-62 victory. 

Tip-off is set for 1 p.m. ET at Amalie Arena in Tampa, Fla. The Volunteers are a 6.5-point favorite in the latest Texas A&M vs. Tennessee odds at Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is set at 131. Before you make any Tennessee vs. Texas A&M picks, be sure to check out the college basketball predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of almost $1,600 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Texas A&M vs. Tennessee and revealed its coveted picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine to see all of the model’s college basketball picks. Here are several college basketball odds and trends for Tennessee vs. Texas A&M:

  • Texas A&M vs. Tennessee spread: Volunteers -6.5
  • Texas A&M vs. Tennessee over-under: 131 points
  • Texas A&M vs. Tennessee money line: Aggies +230, Vols -280
  • TEXAM: The underdog is 7-3-1 ATS in the past 11 meetings
  • TENN: It is 9-5 ATS this season when playing on equal rest

Featured Game | Tennessee Volunteers vs. Texas A&M Aggies

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Why Tennessee can cover

Tennessee is 5-3 against the spread in its past eight games and 19-13 overall ATS this season. It showed a lot of heart in holding off Kentucky’s rally on Saturday, and Santiago Vescovi didn’t have the numbers, but he made some key rebounds down the stretch. Kennedy Chandler led the way on offense, scoring 19 points and hitting eight of his 16 shots. He also led the team in the last meeting against Texas A&M with team-highs of 16 points and seven assists, and four other Vols scored at least 13. Zakai Zeigler (8.9 points per game) and Josiah-Jordan James (9.7) had 14 and Vescovi had 13.     

The Vols are 16-9 ATS as a favorite and 11-9 ATS in conference games. Vescovi struggled from 3-point range Saturday, making two of seven tries, but he is second in the SEC with 91 made 3-pointers. He had nine points and five rebounds Saturday. Tennessee smothered UK’s shooters in the semifinal, holding the Wildcats to 36.6 percent from the field and 16.6 percent (two of 20) from 3-point range. 

Why Texas A&M can cover

Texas A&M has covered the spread in five straight as an underdog, and it has been playing as if possessed. It followed an eight-game losing streak with an 8-1 run that has likely secured an NCAA bid, but it will be eager to finish this off. They are forcing a ton of turnovers and limiting opposing shooters. They held top-seeded Auburn to 30 percent shooting, and then Arkansas shot less than 17 percent from 3-point range. Razorbacks star JD Notae, who is second in the SEC in scoring, had just five points Saturday, almost 14 below his season average. 

The Aggies, who are 6-2 ATS this season against ranked opponents, shot 53 percent from 3-point range Saturday. Quenton Jackson scored 20 points and Tyrece Radford hit four of his five shots, including both 3-pointers, for 11. A&M ranks third in the nation in steals, getting 10 per game, led by Jackson (1.7) and forward Henry Coleman (1.4). Jackson leads the team with 14.6 points per game, followed by Coleman (11.2) and Radford (10.8). 

How to make Texas A&M vs. Tennessee picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 137 points. The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Tennessee vs. Texas A&M? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college basketball picks, and find out.

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