Tuesday, May 17, 2022

Michigan State vs. Davidson prediction, odds: 2022 NCAA Tournament picks, March Madness bets from proven model

No. 7 seed Michigan State only lost two non-conference games this season, with both setbacks coming against No. 1 seeds Baylor and Kansas. The Spartans will try to avoid a third loss when they face No. 10 seed Davidson in the first round of the NCAA Tournament. Davidson has only lost six games all season, including a heartbreaker against Richmond in the Atlantic 10 Tournament. This will be the first-ever meeting between these programs. 

Tipoff is set for 9:40 p.m. ET on Friday night at Bon Secours Wellness Arena. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Spartans as 1-point favorites in the latest Davidson vs. Michigan State odds. The over-under for points scored is set at 140.5. Before making any Michigan State vs. Davidson picks, be sure to check out the college basketball predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of almost $1,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Michigan State vs. Davidson and revealed its coveted picks and predictions for the NCAA Tournament 2022. You can head to SportsLine to see all of the model’s college basketball picks. Here are several college basketball odds and trends for Davidson vs. Michigan State:

  • Michigan State vs. Davidson spread: Michigan State -1
  • Michigan State vs. Davidson over-under: 140.5 points
  • Michigan State vs. Davidson money line: Michigan State -120, Davidson +100
  • Davidson: The Wildcats are 9-1 against the spread in non-conference games
  • Michigan State: The Spartans are 6-5 against the spread in non-conference games

What you need to know about Davidson

Michigan State is not the same team as it was early in the season. The Spartans struggled to hold up against quality competition, losing seven of their final 10 games in the regular season. Davidson has not lost consecutive games since mid-November and the Wildcats are coming off a loss to Richmond. 

They also have one of the most efficient offenses in college basketball, led by veteran guard Foster Loyer, who is a transfer from Michigan State. Loyer paces an offense that ranks inside the top 15 nationally in field goal percentage and turnover rate. Davidson has been undervalued in the betting market throughout the season, covering the spread at a 19-12 clip. 

What you need to know about Michigan State

Michigan State got off to a phenomenal start this season, losing just two games before mid-January. Those losses came to a pair of top-10 teams in Kansas and Baylor, who are both No. 1 seeds in the NCAA Tournament. The Spartans struggled with a difficult conference schedule though, losing seven of their final 10 games in the regular season. 

They picked up some momentum in the conference tournament last weekend, beating Maryland and Wisconsin before losing to Purdue in a close game. Senior forward Gabe Brown leads a balanced Michigan State lineup with 11.4 points and 3.9 rebounds per game, while freshman guard Max Christie is adding 9.5 points. The Spartans have covered the spread in four of their last five games. 

How to make Davidson vs. Michigan State picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 143 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Michigan State vs. Davidson? And which side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college basketball picks, and find out.

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