Wednesday, May 25, 2022

Duke vs. North Carolina prediction, odds, line: 2022 NCAA Tournament picks, Final Four bets from proven model

A 2022 Final Four showdown takes place when the No. 8 seed North Carolina Tar Heels (28-9) and No. 2 seed Duke Blue Devils (32-6) battle it out on Saturday night in the 2022 NCAA Tournament. Duke has won four straight games, including a 78-69 win over Arkansas in the Elite Eight. Likewise, UNC is on a four-game win streak, dominating Saint Peter’s en route to a 69-49 victory on Sunday. This is the first matchup between these illustrious programs in NCAA Tournament history, and it could be the final game for legendary Duke coach Mike Krzyzewski as he leads the Blue Devils through March Madness for the last time. 

Tipoff is at 8:49 p.m. ET from New Orleans. The Blue Devils are favored by four points in the latest Duke vs. North Carolina odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under is 151. Before making any North Carolina vs. Duke picks, be sure to check out the college basketball predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of over $1,200 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Duke vs. UNC and revealed its coveted picks and predictions for the Final Four 2022. You can head to SportsLine to see all of the model’s college basketball picks. Here are several college basketball odds and trends for UNC vs. Duke:

  • Duke vs. North Carolina spread: Blue Devils -4
  • Duke vs. North Carolina over-under: 151 points
  • Duke vs. North Carolina money line: Tar Heels +160, Blue Devils -190
  • UNC: Tar Heels are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall
  • DUKE: Over is 7-1 in Blue Devils’ last eight games following a straight-up win

Why Duke can cover

Freshman forward Paolo Banchero is a versatile and athletic playmaker for the Blue Devils. Banchero has good handles and creativity on the offensive end, creating his own shot on a consistent basis. The Washington native is averaging 17.1 points, 7.7 rebounds and 3.2 assists per game. In the Sweet 16 victory over Texas Tech, Banchero logged 22 points, four rebounds and four assists.

Sophomore guard Jeremy Roach is a floor general with good playmaking ability. Roach can finish with either hand but also has a smooth jumper from mid-range. The Virginia native averages 8.6 points, 2.3 rebounds and 3.1 assists per game. On March 24, Roach produced 15 points, four rebounds and five assists. 

Why North Carolina can cover

Junior forward Armando Bacot is a force on the glass and has great strength to bully opposing players. Bacot knows how to create space and impacts the game in the paint. The Virginia native is averaging 16.5 points, 12.8 rebounds, and 1.7 blocks per game. Bacot ranks first in the nation in double-doubles (28) and that hasn’t slowed down during the tournament. In his last game, he recorded 20 points, 22 rebounds and two blocks.

Sophomore guard RJ Davis has great speed and burst in the backcourt. Davis has a quick first step and can blow past any defender. The New York native averages 13.4 points, four rebounds and 3.7 assists per game. He is also a reliable threat on the perimeter, shooting 36 percent from three. On Mar. 19, Davis amassed 30 points, five rebounds, six assists and went 5-for-10 from beyond the arc. 

How to make UNC vs. Duke picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 150 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Duke vs. North Carolina? And which side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college basketball picks, and find out.

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