Thursday, May 26, 2022

76ers vs. Pistons prediction, odds, line, spread: 2022 NBA picks, March 31 best bets from proven model

The Philadelphia 76ers visit the Detroit Pistons for an evening matchup on Thursday, March 31. Philadelphia has dropped two games in a row, though the Sixers are 46-29 overall and 25-12 in road games. Detroit is on a three-game losing streak, falling to 20-56 overall and 12-26 at Little Caesars Arena. Jerami Grant (calf) and Hamidou Diallo (finger) are out for the Pistons. Jaden Springer (groin) is out for the 76ers.

Tipoff is at 7 p.m. ET in Detroit. Caesars Sportsbook lists Philadelphia as a 10-point road favorite, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 223 in the latest 76ers vs. Pistons odds. Before you make any 76ers vs. Pistons picks or NBA predictions, you need to see what SportsLine’s advanced computer model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 24 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 83-51 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,600. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Sixers vs. Pistons, and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Pistons vs. Sixers:

  • 76ers vs. Pistons spread: 76ers -10
  • 76ers vs. Pistons over-under: 223 points 
  • 76ers vs. Pistons money line: 76ers -550, Pistons +400 
  • PHL: The 76ers are 20-24-1 against the spread in conference games 
  • DET: The Pistons are 30-17 against the spread in conference games

Featured Game | Detroit Pistons vs. Philadelphia 76ers

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Why the 76ers can cover

Philadelphia is extremely potent on offense, particularly on the margins. The 76ers lead the NBA in free -throw accuracy at 81.9 percent, and Philadelphia is No. 3 in the league in free -throw creation, averaging 23.6 attempts per game. Philadelphia is also No. 2 in the league in turnovers, committing only 12.3 per game, and the 76ers score more than 1.12 points per possession. 

On defense, the 76ers rank in the top 10 of the NBA, yielding fewer than 1.1 points per possession, and Philadelphia is in the top eight of the NBA in 3-point defense, assists allowed and blocked shots. Detroit is one of the worst offensive teams in the league, ranking third-worst in points per possession. The Pistons are No. 25 in assists, with bottom-three metrics in field-goal percentage, 2-point percentage and 3-point percentage.

Why the Pistons can cover

Detroit can create some havoc on both ends of the floor. The Pistons are above-average in free-throw creation (21.9 attempts per game) and free-throw accuracy (78.1 percent), with aggressiveness on the offensive glass. Detroit is in the top eight of the NBA in grabbing 11.1 offensive rebounds per game, and those rebounds lead to 13.8 second-chance points per contest. Philadelphia is below-average on the defensive glass, and the 76ers are No. 23 in the NBA in turnover creation on defense. 

On the opposite end, the Pistons create 14.7 turnovers per game, No. 6 in the league. Detroit averages 7.7 steals and 4.8 blocks per game, with the Pistons ranking in the top six of the NBA in second-chance points allowed (12.6 per game) and fast-break points allowed (11.0 per game). Philadelphia is last in the NBA in offensive rebound rate, with bottom-10 marks in 2-point accuracy and assists on offense.

How to make 76ers vs. Pistons picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, projecting 219 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Pistons vs. Sixers? And which side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the 76ers vs. Pistons spread you need to jump on Thursday, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out. 

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