Wednesday, May 25, 2022

Gennadiy Golovkin vs. Ryota Murata fight prediction, odds, start time, undercard, live stream, expert pick

While every fighter has reason to want to win every fight, Gennadiy Golovkin enters Saturday’s bout with Ryota Murata with millions upon millions more reasons than most. As long as Golovkin can beat Murata and unify the IBF and WBA middleweight championships, he’s set for a massive trilogy bout with Canelo Alvarez to end the year. That, of course, assumes that Alvarez is also able to beat Dmitry Bivol on May 7.

Murata is far from a pushover and should not be treated as a mere bump in the road en route to Golovkin vs. Alvarez 3. Also, Murata has the home-ring advantage, with the fight taking place from Saitama Super Arena in Saitama, Japan (5:10 a.m. ET, DAZN).

In 18 professional fights, Murata has suffered two losses, though he decisively avenged both. Murata lost a fight for the WBA regular title, a secondary belt for the sanctioning body, to Hassan N’Dam N’Jikam in May 2017. That October, Murata avenged that split decision by forcing N’Jikam’s corner to throw in the towel after seven rounds.

His second defeat played out much the same way, with Rob Brant taking a decision in October 2018 only for Murata to come back in their rematch the following July with a relentless attack of power punches that forced a second-round stoppage.

Golovkin turns 40 on Friday and is likely in the final years of his time as a top-tier fighter. Knowing that, it’s all the more important that Golovkin manages to get past a resilient, hard-charging fighter in Murata.

Golovkin rode the momentum of 37 straight wins to open his career, most by knockout, to land his first fight with Alvarez. Despite it seeming Golovkin had done enough to get the win, the fight ended in a split draw, with acceptable scorecards of 115-113 for Golovkin and a 114-114 draw offset by a baffling 118-110 card was turned in for Alvarez.

The second fight, which was just as good, if not better than the first, also saw controversy. Alvarez took home a disputed majority decision.

While it seemed obvious the two needed to fight for a third time, Alvarez repeatedly brushed off the idea and Golovkin moved on to pick up wins over Steve Rolls, Sergiy Derevyanchenko and Kamil Szeremeta, all the while calling for his chance to get Alvarez in the ring one final time.

That opportunity finally came when it was announced that Alvarez had signed a multi-fight deal with DAZN in which the second bout would be with Golovkin as long as both men got past their next tests.

For now, all the pressure is on Golovkin. Beat a tough, slightly younger foe, unify a pair of titles and earn the fight he’s so badly wanted for years.

Can’t get enough boxing and MMA? Get the latest in the world of combat sports from two of the best in the business. Subscribe to Morning Kombat with Luke Thomas and Brian Campbell for the best analysis and in-depth news, including an early preview of what to expect when Golovkin and Murata meet on Saturday below.

Elsewhere on the card, many of the top fighters from Japan get a chance at a showcase opportunity. Shuichiro Yoshino takes on Masakyuki Ito in a lightweight contest. Junto Nakatani battles Ryota Yamauchi for with Nakatani’s WBO flyweight title at stake. And Kazauki Anaguchi faces Ryuji Yamamoto in a super bantamweight bout.

Let’s take a closer look at the odds before getting to a prediction and pick on the main event. Odds via Caesars Sportsbook.

Golovkin vs. Murata card, odds

Gennadiy Golovkin (c) -490

Ryota Murata (c) +370

WBA & IBF middleweight titles

Shuichiro Yoshino -175

Masayuki Ito +150

Lightweight

Junto Nakatani (c) -2000

Ryota Yamauchi +1000

WBO flyweight title

Kazuki Anaguchi

Ryuji Yamamoto

Super bantamweight

Hiroka Amaki

Taiga Kato

Welterweight

Prediction

Golovkin is still a tremendous fighter, even if more and more moments have shown in recent fights where he may be slipping just a bit from his absolute best. Both men share similar styles, pressuring and throwing heavy power punches. That said, even with Murata being a talented fighter with power, Golovkin has the better overall skills. One red flag, however, is that Murata has no hesitation to throw to the body and Golovkin was badly bothered by the body work of Derevyanchenko in their very close fight in October 2019. Murata’s key to success beyond potentially landing a fight-ending punch would be to work Golovkin’s body at every opportunity.

Still, Golovkin is the smart pick here simply based on likely still being better at 40 than Murata has ever been in his career and Murata isn’t exactly young at 36. Expect some fireworks and a surprisingly close fight, but one that Golovkin can eventually get the better of. Pick: Gennadiy Golovkin via UD

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