Tuesday, July 5, 2022

Potential blockbuster draft-week trades, plus best first-round prop bets and final top 300 prospect rankings

Update your calendars, everyone, because we’re now two days away from the 2022 draft! That’s right, just two! John Breech is so excited that he called me, Cody Benjamin, and gifted Tuesday’s newsletter duties as a means of celebrating the big week. So I’m here, ready to deliver all the latest from around the NFL.

This is the Pick Six Newsletter. Now let’s get to it. (And please, do yourself a favor and make sure you’re signed up to receive this newsletter every day! You don’t want to miss our daily offerings of everything you need to know around the NFL.)

We’ve got a final 2022 mock draft, complete prospect rankings, best first-round bets and much more:

  1. Today’s show: Live final 2022 first-round mock draft


Kayvon Thibodeaux USATSI

The draft is almost here, so experts Ryan Wilson, Chris Trapasso and Josh Edwards joined Will Brinson on Wednesday’s “Pick Six NFL Podcast” to run through a final first-round mock — live on air. The guys were each assigned several teams as they worked through all 32 of the Day One selections. Here’s a look at their top five:

  1. Jaguars: OT Ikem Ekwonu (Wilson): “Help Trevor Lawrence quit taking beatings.”
  2. Lions: DE Aidan Hutchinson (Trapasso): “It would fit the value and the need for this team.”
  3. Texans: CB Sauce Gardner (Edwards): “Houston has been chasing a difference-maker at cornerback.”
  4. Jets: DE Kayvon Thibodeaux (Brinson): “I think they’d love to come out with a receiver and pass rusher.”
  5. Giants: CB Derek Stingley Jr. (Wilson): “If you get 2019 Derek Stingley, he’s a top-five pick.”

Catch the entire episode (and subscribe for all kinds of daily NFL content) right here.

2. Agent’s Take: Three big draft-day trades that make sense

College football stars might not be the only big names moving on draft day. Or at least they shouldn’t be, according to Joel Corry, who’s proposed three blockbuster moves that make sense for both sides:

  • Seahawks acquire QB Baker MayfieldThe trade compensation for Mayfield really should be similar to Carolina’s deal to acquire 2018 third overall pick Sam Darnold prior to the 2021 draft.
  • Jets acquire WR Deebo SamuelSamuel would have a seamless transition into the Jets offense. Jets offensive coordinator Mike LaFleur was the 49ers passing coordinator when Samuel was selected in 2019’s second round.
  • Chiefs acquire CB James BradberryCharvarius Ward signing a three-year, $40.5 million deal with the 49ers in free agency created a hole in the Chiefs’ secondary. Bradberry would fill the void created by Ward’s departure. 

3. Insider notes: Top first-round prop bets for 2022 draft


Kenny Pickett USATSI

The draft is always unpredictable, but this year, there’s an extra layer of uncertainty when it comes to where the top prospects will land. CBS Sports NFL insider Jason La Canfora is here to help, identifying top prop bets for the first round. Here’s a sneak peek:

  • Evan Neal picked No. 3 (+450): Many of Texans GM Nick Caserio’s peers think he goes clean here at a significant impact position. If two pass rushers are already off the board by this pick, as many would anticipate, and this team needs to be rebuilt in the trenches, then I lean into Neal.

  • Charles Cross picked No. 5 (+700): Maybe it’s smoke, but I have been hearing (the Giants) connected to this player for a long time. Other GMs see the fit here, and, especially if Neal is gone, believe the Giants take the (top) pass protector.

  • Kenny Pickett to the Panthers (+145): Sometimes it is what it is. Owner David Tepper has become the face of frustrated owners everywhere who keep failing to find a real QB. They have very little draft capital and a massive need at QB … Pickett is the safest QB pick in the draft, is an ascending talent, and had the most productive season at that position.

4. Trapasso’s final Top 300 prospect rankings: Willis is QB1

Still trying to catch up on this year’s top incoming rookies? Chris Trapasso has you covered with a complete final 300-man pecking order of this year’s best draft-day talent. Here’s his latest top 10, where the top four all hail from the defensive side of the ball and Liberty’s Malik Willis appears as Trap’s top-rated signal-caller.

  1. Notre Dame S Kyle Hamilton
  2. LSU CB Derek Stingley Jr.
  3. Michigan EDGE Aidan Hutchinson
  4. Oregon EDGE Kayvon Thibodeaux
  5. Alabama OT Evan Neal
  6. Mississippi State OT Charles Cross
  7. Cincinnati CB Ahmad “Sauce” Gardner
  8. Liberty QB Malik Willis
  9. USC WR Drake London
  10. Penn State EDGE Arnold Ebiketie

Catch Trapasso’s final ranking of 2022 prospects right here.

5. Deebo Samuel updates: 49ers’ asking price, trade possibilities


Deebo Samuel USATSI

San Francisco’s top offensive weapon wants out. We know that. But how likely is a trade? Check out our latest on the drama between Samuel and the 49ers, with draft day looming as a potential deadline for a deal:

6. Rapid-fire roundup: QB trade history, Belichick moves again

Hungry for more content? Good! We’ve got just what you’re looking for:

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