Thursday, June 30, 2022

2022 Kentucky Derby odds, best predictions: Expert who called last year’s Derby Day winner releases picks

One of the 2022 Kentucky Derby contenders raised eyebrows this week when Taiba, trained by Tim Yakteen, skipped a previously planned workout ahead of the 148th Run for the Roses. Taiba is one of several horses at 6-1 in the 2022 Kentucky Derby odds, but Yakteen’s decision to hold off on a final training session before the race has potentially raised a red flag. Tawny Port (100-1) and In Due Time (120-1) are also on a limited workout schedule after competing on April 16 in the Keeneland Stakes in Lexington. How much merit should be given to horses’ workloads ahead of the Kentucky Derby 2022, and how should it impact your bets? With the Kentucky Derby 2022 featuring the largest field in North American racing, you’ll want to see what astute racing reporter and analyst Michelle Yu has to say before making any 2022 Kentucky Derby picks.

Few people in racing are as connected as Yu. An on-air host and reporter who has provided racing analysis for TVG, HRTV and the Breeders’ Cup, Yu has spent a lifetime in racing. Prior to her television career, she worked for trainers Steve Asmussen and Ron Moquett. She also is married to Santa Anita-based trainer Ryan Hanson.

She also has tremendous handicapping chops. In the 2011 Kentucky Derby, she correctly tabbed Animal Kingdom to win at a hefty 21-1. In the 2017 Breeders’ Cup, she nailed 11-1 long shot Wuheida to win the Filly and Mare Turf. Last year in a wide-open Kentucky Derby, she gave out Medina Spirit, who crossed the finish line first, as the winner at 12-1.

Since joining SportsLine in November, her picks have cashed in six of 12 races, including the exacta in the Breeders’ Cup Classic. Anyone who has followed her is way up.

Now, Yu has handicapped the 2022 Kentucky Derby odds, made her picks and constructed her bets. Click here to see them.

Top 2022 Kentucky Derby predictions

One surprise: Yu is tossing Messier, even though he is one of the top 2022 Kentucky Derby favorites at 6-1. Messier’s most recent workout came last Saturday at Santa Anita Park, where he finished with a time of 59.8 in his five-furlong session.

That figure was good for ninth-best among the 47 other horses that made the same run. Three-year-old colt Doppelganger, who was moved to Yakteen from embattled trainer Bob Baffert, is not in the 2022 Kentucky Derby field, but finished with a faster time than Messier. After just one win in his last three races, he hasn’t inspired much confidence to place in front of other 6-1 options like Taiba, Zandon, or 5-1 favorite Epicenter.

Instead, Yu is high on Charge It, even though he is a 20-1 long shot. Charge It has raced just three times, and only Santa Anita Derby winner Taiba (two) has fewer starts in the 2022 Kentucky Derby lineup. Two starts ago, Charge It broke his maiden at Gulfstream Park with an impressive 8 1/2-length win.

In his last start, he stepped up in class in the Florida Derby and finished second despite leaving the gate slowly and failing to run straight down the stretch. “Charge It was ultra-green in his last race, which was also his stakes debut, his first try versus winners, and just his third career start, but still managed to out-finish a bevy of runners with more experience to run second,” Yu told SportsLine. Yu is including Charge It among her 2022 Kentucky Derby sleepers.

How to make 2022 Kentucky Derby picks, bets

Yu is high on three other horses, including an enormous long shot you need to see now. Yu says this long shot “always comes running in the end” and will appear in all of her exotics, potentially setting up a huge payday. She is including this horse in her 2022 Kentucky Derby bets, and so should you. She’s sharing which horses to back only at SportsLine.

So who wins the 2022 Kentucky Derby? Which enormous long shot is a must-back? Check out the Kentucky Derby odds 2022 below, then visit SportsLine to see Yu’s picks for the Kentucky Derby, all from the expert who nailed last year’s winner on Derby Day.

2022 Kentucky Derby odds, horses, futures

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