Thursday, June 30, 2022

76ers vs. Heat prediction, odds, line: 2022 NBA playoff picks, Game 2 bets from model on 86-58 run

The Philadelphia 76ers aim to bounce back on Wednesday evening at FTX Arena. The 76ers lost Game 1 to the Miami Heat on Monday, trailing for the vast majority of a double-digit defeat. In Game 2, the Heat aim to take a commanding position before the series pivots to Philadelphia. Joel Embiid (facial fracture) is out for the 76ers. Kyle Lowry (hamstring) is out for the Heat, with Tyler Herro (ankle), Max Strus (hamstring), P.J. Tucker (calf), and Gabe Vincent (knee) listed as questionable.

Tip-off is at 7:30 p.m. ET in Miami. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Heat as eight-point home favorites, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 207.5 in the latest 76ers vs. Heat odds. Before you make any Heat vs. 76ers picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters the third full week of the 2022 NBA playoffs on a stunning 86-58 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,100. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on 76ers vs. Heat, and just locked in its picks and NBA playoff predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Heat vs. 76ers:

  • 76ers vs. Heat spread: Heat -8
  • 76ers vs. Heat over-under: 207.5 points
  • 76ers vs. Heat money line: Heat -440, 76ers +340
  • PHI: The 76ers are 4-3 against the spread in playoff games
  • MIA: The Heat are 4-2 against the spread in playoff games

Featured Game | Miami Heat vs. Philadelphia 76ers

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Why the 76ers can cover

Even without Embiid, Philadelphia can take solace in a potent offense. The 76ers scored 1.13 points per possession during the regular season, and Philadelphia has been even better in the playoffs. Doc Rivers’ team is generating more than 1.16 points per possession in the postseason, posting a 61.0 percent true shooting mark that is elite. Philadelphia is shooting 48 percent from the field and 37.4 percent from 3-point range in the playoffs, and the free throw line is key to the team’s approach. 

The 76ers finished in the top three of the NBA in free throw creation and free throw accuracy in 2021-22, and Philadelphia has continued that success. Philadelphia is attempting nearly 25 free throws per game and converting 85.5 percent of them in the playoffs. On top of that, the 76ers take care of the ball, leading the NBA in live-ball turnover avoidance (6.6 per game) during the regular season and finishing in the top five in overall turnover rate. 

Why the Heat can cover

Miami’s playoff performance has been outstanding. The Heat are 5-1 in the playoffs, with the only loss coming in narrow fashion on the road in Atlanta. Defense has carried a lot of water for the Heat, with an elite mark of 1.03 points allowed per possession through six playoff games. Miami held Philadelphia to 0.98 points per possession in Game 1, and the 76ers were forced into 6-of-34 shooting from 3-point range. Philadelphia also generated only 18 assists, compared to 15 turnovers, and Miami’s defensive bonafides are clear. 

After a top-five defensive mark in the NBA during the regular season, the Heat are holding opponents to 18.5 assists per game and 30.1 percent 3-point shooting in the playoffs. Miami is also securing more than 75 percent of defensive rebounds, and the Heat are also dominating the offensive glass, snatching 32.2 percent of missed shots. 

How to make Heat vs. 76ers picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, projecting 210 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the model’s Heat vs. 76ers picks at SportsLine.

So who wins 76ers vs. Heat? And which side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out. 

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