Tuesday, May 24, 2022

Brewers vs. Reds odds, prediction, line: 2022 MLB picks, Thursday, May 5 best bets from proven model

The Milwaukee Brewers aim to continue a strong start when they take on the Cincinnati Reds on Thursday. Milwaukee is 17-8 this season, including a 9-4 mark at American Family Field. Thursday’s game gives the opportunity for the Brewers to sweep a three-game set against a division rival, with Cincinnati struggling. The Reds are just 3-21 and 1-19 in the last 20 games.

First pitch is at 1:40 p.m. ET in Milwaukee. Milwaukee is the heavy -245 favorite (risk $245 to win $100) in the latest Reds vs. Brewers odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while Cincinnati returns +205 as the underdog. The over-under for total runs scored is set at 7.5. Before making any Brewers vs. Reds picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times and it is off to a sizzling start to the 2022 season. It’s on a 28-13 roll on top-rated MLB money-line picks through four weeks, returning over $1,100 for $100 players. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Brewers vs. Reds, and just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several MLB odds and betting lines for Reds vs. Brewers:

  • Reds vs. Brewers money line: Brewers -245, Reds +205
  • Reds vs. Brewers over-under: 7.5 runs
  • Reds vs. Brewers run line: Brewers -1.5 (-125)
  • CIN: The Reds are 2-14 in road games
  • MIL: The Brewers are 9-4 at home

Why you should back the Reds

The Reds have ugly numbers this season, but Cincinnati isn’t far away from a strong offensive performance a season ago. In 2021, the Reds were No. 2 in the National League in batting average and doubles, with top-four marks in runs scored, on-base percentage, slugging percentage and OPS. From there, the Brewers do have some weaknesses this season, ranking No. 10 or worse in the National League in hits, strikeouts, batting average and on-base percentage. 

Cincinnati can have confidence in 22-year-old Hunter Greene, who will start the game on the mound, and he has 22 strikeouts in 18 innings this season. The former No. 2 overall pick will then give way to a bullpen that sports a rock-solid 3.69 ERA in 2022 with fewer than three walks per nine innings.

Why you should back the Brewers

Milwaukee is red-hot in its own right, but Cincinnati’s struggles are hard to ignore. The Reds have the worst team ERA (6.68) in the National League, with bottom-tier marks virtually across the board. Cincinnati’s offense has also cratered this season. The Reds are dead-last in the National League in runs scored (74), hits (153), walks (62), on-base percentage (.267), slugging percentage (.316) and OPS (.583). Cincinnati also ranks in the bottom three of the league in batting average, strikeouts, home runs and stolen bases, illustrating the dire situation. 

Milwaukee’s offense has been far more potent, including the No. 3 mark in the NL with 118 runs scored. The Brewers are also a top-five team in total bases, slugging percentage and stolen bases, with Milwaukee already blasting 29 home runs to begin the season. With that offense, a starting starting pitcher in Adrian Houser, and a bullpen that ranks near the top of the National League, the Brewers project well.

How to make Reds vs. Brewers picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, projecting 9.4 combined runs. It also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get the model’s MLB picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Brewers vs. Reds? And which side has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its MLB picks, and find out. 

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