Thursday, May 19, 2022

2022 Kentucky Derby odds, predictions: Expert who nailed last year’s Derby Day winner reveals picks

Tiznow never ran in a Kentucky Derby, but she’s the second dam to 2020 runner-up Tiz the Law. Her bloodline is represented yet again among the 2022 Kentucky Derby contenders with Tiz the Bomb. This year’s representative from the Tiz family tree will break from the ninth post in the 148th Run for the Roses on Saturday. Tiz the Bomb is 30-1 to win in the latest 2022 Kentucky Derby odds and is joined by seven others in the 20-horse 2022 Kentucky Derby field with the same price. Among those also at 30-1 is Pioneer of Medina, who may evoke comparisons to former disqualified Derby winner Medina Spirit, but does not hail from the same bloodline. The 2022 Kentucky Derby post time is 6:57 p.m. ET. With the Kentucky Derby 2022 featuring the largest field in North American racing, you’ll want to see what astute racing reporter and analyst Michelle Yu has to say before making any 2022 Kentucky Derby picks.

Few people in racing are as connected as Yu. An on-air host and reporter who has provided racing analysis for TVG, HRTV and the Breeders’ Cup, Yu has spent a lifetime in racing. Prior to her television career, she worked for trainers Steve Asmussen and Ron Moquett. She also is married to Santa Anita-based trainer Ryan Hanson.

She also has tremendous handicapping chops. In the 2011 Kentucky Derby, she correctly tabbed Animal Kingdom to win at a hefty 21-1. In the 2017 Breeders’ Cup, she nailed 11-1 long shot Wuheida to win the Filly and Mare Turf. Last year in a wide-open Kentucky Derby, she gave out Medina Spirit, who crossed the finish line first, as the winner at 12-1.

Since joining SportsLine in November, her picks have cashed in six of 12 races, including the exacta in the Breeders’ Cup Classic. Anyone who has followed her is way up.

Now, Yu has handicapped the 2022 Kentucky Derby odds, made her picks and constructed her bets. Click here to see them.

Top 2022 Kentucky Derby predictions

One surprise: Yu is tossing Messier, even though he is one of the top 2022 Kentucky Derby favorites at 8-1. In fact, Yu says Messier barely cracks the top 10. Of the top six horses in the Kentucky Derby odds 2022, five of them won their last time out. Messier is the lone exception, as he was overtaken down the stretch at the Santa Anita Derby, finishing second to stablemate Taiba. That is important to note since just two of the last 11 Kentucky Derby winners came off a loss in their prior race.

That Santa Anita race was also Messier’s first run under trainer Tim Yakteen, who took over for Bob Baffert following the latter’s suspension. Thus, Messier has never tasted victory under his current trainer and Yakteen is inexperienced in the Kentucky Derby, as he’s never fielded a starter in the Run for the Roses before. Yu also points out that Messier’s victories have been less than impressive as he faced weak fields, a big reason why she’s not high on the horse on Saturday.

Instead, Yu is high on Cyberknife, even though he is a 20-1 long shot. Cyberknife was sired by Gun Runner, who finished third in the 2016 Kentucky Derby and had the third-best pre-race odds at 10-1.

Cyberknife and Zozos (20-1) ran together in a training session on April 30, and the former slightly outpaced his counterpart on the six-furlong work with a time of 1:11.2. Both finished a step ahead of Classic Causeway, who made the run in 1:13.2. Cyberknife showed resolve in his win after a slow start at the Arkansas Derby on April 2 and now appears to be outclassing his fellow 2022 Kentucky Derby contenders on the open track.

How to make 2022 Kentucky Derby picks, bets

Yu’s top pick is an overlooked horse who has the “speed to press and has top connections.” Yu is also high on an enormous long shot who is her “must-use-in-exotics horse.” She said this colt “has shown race after race that he belongs in the Kentucky Derby.” She is including these horses in her 2022 Kentucky Derby bets, and so should you. She’s sharing which horses to back only at SportsLine.

So who wins the 2022 Kentucky Derby? Which enormous long shot is a must-back? Check out the Kentucky Derby odds 2022 below, then visit SportsLine to see Yu’s picks for the Kentucky Derby, all from the expert who nailed last year’s winner on Derby Day.

2022 Kentucky Derby odds, horses, post positions

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