The Boston Celtics and the Miami Heat collide in a pivotal Game 4 battle in the Eastern Conference finals on Monday night. Miami went on the road and stole Game 3 with a 109-103 victory. The Celtics understand the importance of this contest and will come out assertive. Guard Marcus Smart (ankle) and center Robert Williams III (knee) are both questionable for Boston. Forward Jayson Tatum (right cervical nerve) is probable. Kyle Lowry (hamstring), guard Gabe Vincent (hamstring), guard Max Strus (hamstring), forward P.J. Tucker (knee), guard Tyler Herro (groin) and Jimmy Butler (knee) are all listed as questionable.
Tipoff is at 8:30 p.m. ET at TD Arena. Boston is favored by six points in the latest Celtics vs. Heat odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under is 207.5. Before locking in any Heat vs. Celtics picks, you need to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s advanced computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters second week of the conference finals of the 2022 NBA playoffs on a stunning 87-59 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,100. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Celtics vs. Heat, and just locked in its picks and NBA playoff predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Heat vs. Celtics:
- Celtics vs. Heat spread: Boston -6
- Celtics vs. Heat over-under: 207.5 points
- Celtics vs. Heat money line: Boston -280, Miami +230
- Celtics vs. Heat tickets: See tickets at StubHub
- MIA: The Heat have covered in four of their last five games
- BOS: The Celtics are 26-15-1 ATS this season against teams with win percentage of 55+
Featured Game | Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat
Why the Heat can cover
Miami pulled off a gritty 109-103 win in Game 3 to take a 2-1 series lead. Butler injured his knee late in the second quarter and didn’t return but the Heat stayed resilient. They forced Boston to commit 24 turnovers, which led to 33 points. Center Bam Adebayo is a forceful presence on the low post. The Kentucky product knows how to create space on the block and find his own shot.
The 2017 first-round pick went off in the Game 3 victory. He dropped 31 points, 10 rebounds, six assists and four steals. Miami had four of their five starters score in double figures. Tucker had 17 points with seven rebounds and three assists. He also added three 3-pointers. Strus was another shooting threat on the perimeter. The DePaul product had 16 points and went 4-for-7 from downtown.
Why the Celtics can cover
Forward Jaylen Brown is a high-flyer with the athleticism to soar over defenders in the paint. Brown is extremely explosive with a nice combination of speed and quickness. The 2021 All-Star is constantly attacking the lane but owns a reliable jumper from the perimeter. Brown is averaging 23.7 points, 7.1 rebounds and 1.4 steals per game. In his last outing, he amassed 40 points and nine boards.
Smart is a shutdown defender who can guard multiple positions on the floor. Smart does a fantastic job at being physical and poking the ball free. The Oklahoma State product additionally is a confident playmaker that can create his own shot. Smart is logging 15.8 points, 4.2 rebounds, 6.8 assists and 1.2 steals. In Game 3, he had 16 points, four rebounds and seven assists.
How to make Heat vs. Celtics picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, projecting 209 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Celtics vs. Heat? And which side of the spread hits in over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Heat vs. Celtics spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.