The Golden State Warriors have another chance to clinch their spot in the NBA Finals when they face the Dallas Mavericks in Game 5 of their Western Conference finals series on Thursday night at 9 p.m. ET. The Mavericks were able to keep their season alive with a 119-109 win in Game 4 on Tuesday. Small forward Dorian Finney-Smith connected on four 3-pointers in a 23-point effort. The latest NBA prop bet lines from Caesars Sportsbook list the over-under for Finney-Smith’s total points at 11.5 in Game 5.
He was able to double that total his last time out, but he had not scored 11 points in his previous six games. Should you be backing the under for his point total on Thursday night? And which other NBA playoff props should you be targeting? Before making any NBA prop picks for Thursday night’s game, you need to see the Mavericks vs. Warriors prop predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters the second week of the conference finals of the 2022 NBA playoffs on a stunning 87-59 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,100. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Top NBA player prop bets for Mavericks vs. Warriors
After simulating Warriors vs. Mavericks 10,000 times, the model predicts that Dallas point guard Luka Doncic goes under 34.5 total points. The Mavericks are at their best when Doncic is getting help from his teammates, which is what happened in Game 4. He reached the 40-point mark in consecutive games earlier in the series, but he only scored 30 points in Tuesday’s win.
Doncic makes the headlines when he hangs a crooked number, which is why this total is so high. However, he has gone under 34.5 points in six of his last nine games, so there is value on the under due to the public narrative. Doncic is averaging 31.9 points per game during the playoffs, and SportsLine’s model expects a similar output on Thursday.
How to make NBA player prop bets for Warriors vs. Mavericks
In addition, the model has a plus-money prop payout on a player’s performance you’ll want to jump on. You need to see the model’s analysis before making any Mavericks vs. Warriors prop bets.
Which Warriors vs. Mavericks prop bets should you back on Thursday night? And which stars are must-backs? Visit SportsLine now to see the top Mavericks vs. Warriors prop picks, all from the model that’s up more than $2,100 on top-rated NBA picks.