Wednesday, July 6, 2022

2022 Belmont Stakes odds, betting strategy: Expert who hit superfecta unveils picks, Rich Strike prediction

Kentucky Oaks runner-up Nest will try to become just the fourth filly to win the final leg of the Triple Crown when she leaves the starting gate in the 2022 Belmont Stakes on Saturday at Belmont Park. Trained by Todd Pletcher, Nest has a pedigree that suggests she should excel at the 1 1/2-mile distance of the Belmont 2022. Her sire, Curlin, finished second in the 2007 Belmont, and her damsire, A.P. Indy, won the race in 1992. She is an 8-1 long shot in the 2022 Belmont Stakes odds. Peter Pan Stakes winner We the People is the 2-1 favorite in the 2022 Belmont Stakes field, while Wood Memorial winner Mo Donegal is 5-2. Long shot Kentucky Derby winner Rich Strike is 7-2. Post time for the Belmont 2022 is 6:44 p.m. ET. Given the shocking Triple Crown season thus far, you’ll want to see what racing insider and Beyer Speed Figure maker Bob Weir has to say before making any 2022 Belmont Stakes picks.

A Saratoga Springs-based racing insider and Beyer Speed Figure maker, Weir is a two-time qualifier for the prestigious National Horseplayers Championship in Las Vegas. He has produced multiple five-figure days at the track over the years, including a $60,000 Pick 6 at Del Mar in 2014. Last year, he was on fire. He hit the exacta in the Sam F. Davis Stakes, Tampa Bay Derby and Peter Pan Stakes, the trifecta in the Risen Star Stakes, Blue Grass Stakes and Pennsylvania Derby and the superfecta in the Belmont Stakes.

This year, he has been red-hot in the Triple Crown prep races, hitting the superfecta in the Blue Grass Stakes, the trifecta in the Louisiana Derby and exactas in the Fountain of Youth Stakes and Tampa Bay Derby. He also has hit the $40 winner of the Man o’ War Stakes, the trifecta in the Pegasus World Cup and multiple Pick 4s, including May 14’s at Belmont for $1,851. Anyone who has followed him is way up.

Now, he has handicapped the 2022 Belmont Stakes lineup, and has identified win contenders and horses to fade. He’s only sharing them here.

2022 Belmont Stakes expert predictions

One shocker: Weir isn’t high on Kentucky Derby winner Rich Strike, even though he’s one of the top favorites. Five weeks ago, this son of Keen Ice shocked the world when he won the Kentucky Derby at 80-1 odds. After that race, his connections made the nearly unprecedented decision to skip the Preakness and train up for the Belmont, becoming the first horse since 1985 to miss the Preakness for something other than illness or injury.

Weir does not believe the Belmont sets up as well for Rich Strike as the Kentucky Derby did, given the lack of early speed in Saturday’s race. “He will need to overcome what is likely to be a moderate pace [in the Belmont], and I will need to see him run well in a fairly run race before becoming a true believer,” Weir told SportsLine. Weir prefers three horses over Rich Strike.

How to make 2022 Belmont Stakes picks

Weir is high on an “ultra-game” long-shot. He’s also backing a long shot who is “dangerous” as a strong win contender. Weir is including these horses in his 2022 Belmont Stakes bets, and so should you. He’s sharing which horses to back only at SportsLine.

So who wins the Belmont Stakes 2022? What long shot is a must-back? And who are the other win contenders and horses to fade? Visit SportsLine to see Weir’s picks for the Belmont Stakes, and find out. 

2022 Belmont Stakes odds, field, contenders, lineup

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