Saturday, July 2, 2022

Phillies vs. Marlins odds, prediction, line: 2022 MLB picks, Wednesday, June 15 best bets from proven model

Citizens Bank Park hosts an NL East clash on Wednesday afternoon. The Miami Marlins visit the Philadelphia Phillies in the finale of a three-game set. Both teams have wins to begin the series, with Wednesday’s game determining the series winner. The Marlins are 28-32 this season, and Philadelphia is exactly at the .500 mark with a 31-31 record. 

First pitch is at 1:05 p.m. ET in Philadelphia. The Phillies are listed as -165 favorites (risk $165 to win $100) on the money line, while the over-under, or total number of runs Vegas thinks will be scored, is 9.5 in the latest Marlins vs. Phillies odds. Before you make any Marlins vs. Phillies picks, you need to see the MLB predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s advanced computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times and it is off to a strong start to the 2022 season. It’s on a 55-42 roll on top-rated MLB money-line picks through 10 weeks, returning over $600 for $100 players. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Marlins vs. Phillies, and just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several MLB odds and betting lines for Phillies vs. Marlins:

  • Marlins vs. Phillies money line: Phillies -165, Marlins +145
  • Marlins vs. Phillies over-under: 9.5 runs
  • Marlins vs. Phillies run line: Phillies -1.5 (+120)
  • Marlins vs. Phillies tickets: See tickets at StubHub
  • MIA: The Marlins are 10-13 in day games
  • PHI: The Phillies are 11-9 in day games

Why you should back the Marlins

Miami has a great deal of team speed, ranking in the top five of the National League in both stolen bases and triples. The Marlins are also above-average in the NL with 68 home runs, and Miami is led by two intriguing bats. Jazz Chisholm is Miami’s most exciting player, and he hit a game-tying home run on Tuesday. Chisholm boasts a .546 slugging percentage in 2022 with 13 home runs, 10 stolen bases, and four triples. 

Elsewhere, Garrett Cooper has a .311 batting average and a .382 on-base percentage, making a considerable impact. Miami should also benefit from Philadelphia’s shortcomings. Phillies starter Kyle Gibson has a 6.07 ERA in his last six outings and a 10.80 career ERA against Miami. The Phillies are also in the bottom tier of MLB in defensive metrics, and Philadelphia’s bullpen has the highest walk rate (4.64 per nine innings) in the National League this season.

Why you should back the Phillies

Philadelphia should be able to take advantage of Miami’s lackluster lineup. The Marlins are below the National League average in runs scored, hits, on-base percentage and myriad additional categories. From there, Miami has the third-fewest doubles and the third-fewest walks in the NL this season. 

Gibson should benefit, and he has a 3.63 ERA in home starts and a 3.54 in day games this season. Gibson also effectively slows left-handed hitters, holding them to a .589 combined OPS. The Phillies also land in the top five of the NL in runs scored, greatly outpacing Miami in overall offensive firepower. The Phillies are in the top three of the NL in home runs (80), slugging percentage (.426) and OPS (.745) this season, and Philadelphia also has 38 stolen bases, a top-five mark in the league.

How to make Phillies vs. Marlins picks 

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, projecting 9.0 combined runs. It also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get the model’s MLB picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Marlins vs. Phillies? And which side has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its MLB picks, and find out. 

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