Friday, August 12, 2022

Brewers vs. Rays odds, prediction, line: 2022 MLB picks, Wednesday, June 29 best bets from proven model

Tropicana Field hosts an inter-league matchup on Wednesday afternoon as the Tampa Bay Rays welcome the Milwaukee Brewers to town to wrap up a midweek series. Milwaukee won the opener of a two-game set on Tuesday by a 5-3 score. Tampa Bay aims to return the favor, and both teams enter this matchup with 33 losses in this season.

Caesars Sportsbook lists the Rays as -130 money line favorites, and first pitch is scheduled for 12:10 p.m. ET. The total number of runs Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over-under, is eight in the latest Rays vs. Brewers odds. Before you make any MLB predictions with the Brewers vs. Rays match-up, you need to see the MLB predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s advanced computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times and it is off to a strong start to the 2022 season. It’s on a 59-51 run on top-rated MLB money-line picks through 12 weeks. This is the same model that pegged the 2021 Atlanta Braves as one of three best bets to win it all last season at +1000. Anybody who has followed it has seen profitable returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Brewers vs. Rays, and just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several MLB odds and betting lines for Rays vs. Brewers:

  • Brewers vs. Rays money line: Rays -130, Brewers +110
  • Brewers vs. Rays over-under: 8 runs
  • Brewers vs. Rays run line: Rays -1.5 (+160)
  • MIL: The Brewers are 18-12 in day games
  • TB: The Rays are 18-10 in day games

Featured Game | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers

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Why you should back the Brewers

Milwaukee has the superior offense in this matchup, and the Brewers also project for impressive run prevention. The Brewers will send 27-year-old left-hander Eric Lauer to the mound to begin the game, and he has a 3.89 ERA this season. Lauer has a 3.46 ERA over the last two seasons combined and, in 2022, he is averaging 9.4 strikeouts and only 2.8 walks per nine innings. When Lauer exists, the Brewers are in the top three of the NL in wins above replacement from relief pitchers, and Milwaukee’s bullpen has a 3.44 ERA with 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings.

Tampa Bay’s offense is also flailing in a few key areas. The Rays are No. 10 in the AL in home runs with bottom-five marks in runs scored, batting average and slugging percentage. Tampa Bay is also in the bottom three of the league in on-base percentage and hits this season.

Why you should back the Rays

Tampa Bay regularly wins on the margins. The Rays are No. 2 in the American League with 49 stolen bases, and Tampa Bay also has 10 triples this season. Tampa Bay is facing a Milwaukee starter in Lauer that can be beaten by the long ball. Lauer has allowed 16 home runs this season, and he has a 8.89 ERA over the last three starts. 

Road games have also been unkind to Lauer with a 5.14 ERA, and Tampa Bay’s bullpen is a strength. The Rays are in the top tier of the AL with a 3.14 ERA and 3.00 walks per nine innings from the bullpen. From there, Milwaukee’s offense has a 23.6 percent strikeout rate with below-average metrics in batting average (.235), on-base percentage (.313) and doubles (109).

How to make Rays vs. Brewers picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, projecting 7.5 combined runs. It also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get the model’s MLB picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Brewers vs. Rays? And which side has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its MLB picks, and find out. 

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