Saturday, August 20, 2022

Cubs vs. Brewers prediction, odds, line: 2022 MLB picks, July 4 best bets from proven baseball model

The Milwaukee Brewers dominated the season series against the Chicago Cubs last year, winning 15 of the 19 meetings between the National League Central rivals. Milwaukee (46-35) went 7-2 versus Chicago (32-47) at home in 2021 and won two of three on its own field earlier this year, outscoring its adversaries 20-4 in the process. The first-place Brewers attempt to continue their success when they host the Cubs on Monday for the opener of their three-game series. Milwaukee has won six of eight after posting a 2-0 victory at Pittsburgh on Sunday, while Chicago dropped a 4-2 home decision against Boston in 11 innings to end its season high-tying four-game winning streak.

First pitch in this 4th of July matchup at American Family Field is set for 4:10 p.m. ET. Milwaukee is the -155 money-line favorite (risk $155 to win $100) in the latest Brewers vs. Cubs odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while Chicago is the +130 underdog. The over-under for total runs scored is nine. Before making any Cubs vs. Brewers picks, you need to see the MLB predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s advanced computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. and it is 271-232 on top-rated MLB money-line picks since the start of the 2021 season, returning well over $500 for $100 players. This is the same model that pegged the 2021 Atlanta Braves at 10-1 as one of three best bets to win it all last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen profitable returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Cubs vs. Brewers, and just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several MLB odds and betting lines for Brewers vs. Cubs:

  • Brewers vs. Cubs money line: Milwaukee -155, Chicago +130
  • Brewers vs. Cubs over-under: 9 runs
  • Brewers vs. Cubs run line: Milwaukee -1.5 (+130)
  • MIL: The Brewers have scored seven or more runs in four of the last seven meetings between the teams
  • CHC: The Cubs have recorded 33 runs over their last five road games
  • Brewers vs. Cubs picks: See picks at SportsLine

Featured Game | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs

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Why you should back the Brewers

Milwaukee returns home from a 4-2 road trip during which it won two at Tampa Bay before splitting a four-game series at Pittsburgh. The Brewers’ offense has been clicking of late, producing 32 runs in the set against the Pirates and 57 over their last eight overall contests. They only needed a pair on Sunday, and Omar Narvaez provided them in the fifth inning with his third homer of the season and first since May 9 at Cincinnati.

Eric Lauer (6-3, 4.02 ERA) will be making his third start of the year against the Cubs and second at home. The 27-year-old left-hander was superb in the first turn, allowing just one run and five hits while registering 11 strikeouts over seven innings en route to a victory. Lauer has posted a 2.25 ERA over five starts at home this year and has held Pittsburgh’s current hitters to a combined .183 batting average during his career.

Why you should back the Cubs

Chicago has been getting solid production of late from Patrick Wisdom, who leads the team with 17 home runs and 45 RBIs. The 30-year-old third baseman has gone deep three times and driven in eight runs over his last four contests after notching just one RBI in his previous six games. Nico Hoerner has hit safely in 10 of his last 11 outings, registering seven multi-hit performances during that stretch.

Justin Steele is riding a six-start unbeaten streak during which he has posted a pair of victories and yielded three runs or fewer on five occasions. The 26-year-old southpaw picked up the win against Cincinnati on Wednesday after giving up just one run while notching six strikeouts over six frames. Steele had one of his best outings of 2022 versus the Brewers on Apr. 9, when he scattered four hits over five scoreless innings en route to victory in his season debut. 

How to make Brewers vs. Cubs picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, projecting 7.9 combined runs. It also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get the model’s MLB picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Cubs vs. Brewers? And which side has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its MLB picks, and find out.

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