Saturday, August 13, 2022

Tigers vs. Royals odds, prediction, line: 2022 MLB picks, Monday, July 11 best bets from proven model

American League Central rivals take the field in Kansas City on Monday. The Kansas City Royals host the Detroit Tigers in an afternoon tilt as the first game of a doubleheader. The game opens a four-game set and serves as a makeup contest from an April 17 postponement. Detroit is 36-49 this season, with Kansas City posting a 32-52 overall record.

Caesars Sportsbook lists Kansas City as the -140 money-line favorite (risk $140 to win $100) for this 2:10 p.m. ET first pitch. The total number of runs Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over-under, is nine in the latest Tigers vs. Royals odds. Before making any Royals vs. Tigers picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times, and it is 271-232 on top-rated MLB money-line picks since the start of the 2021 season, returning well over $500 for $100 players. This is the same model that pegged the 2021 Atlanta Braves at 10-1 as one of three best bets to win it all last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen profitable returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Tigers vs. Royals, and just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several MLB odds and betting lines for Royals vs. Tigers:

  • Tigers vs. Royals money line: Royals -140, Tigers +118
  • Tigers vs. Royals over-under: 9 runs
  • Tigers vs. Royals run line: Royals -1.5 (+135)
  • DET: The Tigers are 13-25 in road games
  • KC: The Royals are 16-26 in home games
  • Tigers vs. Royals picks: See picks at SportsLine

Featured Game | Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers

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Why you should back the Tigers

Run prevention projects as a strength for Detroit in Monday afternoon’s matchup. Part of that calculus is a weak Royals offense. Kansas City currently ranks in the bottom five of the American League in runs scored, doubles, home runs, slugging percentage and OPS, with Detroit poised to take advantage. The Tigers have an electric bullpen, ranking in the top three of the AL in both ERA and wins above replacement, and Detroit also has an effective starting pitcher lined up.

Michael Pineda, a 33-year-old former All-Star, owns a 3.62 ERA during the 2022 season. He is in command of his offerings, walking only 1.7 batters per nine innings, and he has been consistent in 2022. Pineda has allowed more than three runs in just one outing this season, and he boasts a 1.17 WHIP for the campaign.

Why you should back the Royals

Kansas City starting pitcher Brad Keller is in strong form. Keller has a 3.22 ERA over the last four outings, headlined by six shutout innings against Detroit on July 1. For the season, Keller owns a sterling 1.38 ERA against the Tigers, and Detroit’s lineup is one of the worst in Major League Baseball this season. 

In fact, the Tigers rank in the bottom three of the American League in almost every major offensive category, including runs scored, hits, doubles, home runs, stolen bases, batting average, on-base percentage, OPS, total bases and slugging percentage. Kansas City isn’t lighting up the scoreboard on offense this season, but the Royals are better than average in avoiding strikeouts and sitting atop the AL in triples.

How to make Royals vs. Tigers picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, projecting 8.1 combined runs. It also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get the model’s MLB picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Tigers vs. Royals? And which side has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its MLB picks, and find out.

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