Saturday, August 13, 2022

2022 British Open odds: Surprising PGA picks, weekend predictions from model that’s nailed eight majors

The first two rounds of the 2022 British Open, also known as the Open Championship, are officially in the books. It’s an extremely crowded leaderboard as the third round is set to get underway from the Old Course at St. Andrews on Saturday morning. Cameron Smith currently sits atop the 2022 Open Championship leaderboard at 13-under par, with Cameron Young (-11), Rory McIlroy (-10), Dustin Johnson (-9), Viktor Hovland (-9) and Scottie Scheffler (-9) still in the mix. 

Meanwhile, major champions like Adam Scott (-7), Matt Fitzpatrick (-6), Jordan Spieth (-4) and Jon Rahm (-4) will need a strong performance over the weekend to have a shot at winning the 150th British Open. Caesars Sportsbook lists Smith as the +185 favorite (risk $100 to win $185), with McIlroy (+340), Hovland (+800) and Young (+800) next in line. With so many experienced players atop the leaderboard, you’ll want to check out the PGA Tour predictions from the proven computer model at SportsLine before locking in your 2022 Open Championship picks.

SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, it’s up over $10,200 on its best bets since that point, nailing tournament after tournament.

At the 2022 Masters, McClure’s model was all over Scottie Scheffler’s first career major championship victory heading into the weekend. In addition, McClure’s best bets included Collin Morikawa winning outright at the 2021 Open Championship, even though he was listed as a massive 40-1 long shot. The model was also all over Jon Rahm’s (10-1) first career major championship victory at the 2021 U.S. Open. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the weekend, but the model still projected him as the winner. 

This same model has also nailed a whopping eight majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.

Now that the cut has been made at the 2022 British Open, SportsLine simulated the final two rounds 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

Top 2022 British Open predictions 

One huge shocker the model is calling for at the British Open 2022: Smith, a five-time PGA Tour champion, squanders his three-shot lead and fails to finish on top of the leaderboard. Smith can become just the second golfer to win the Players Championship and the British Open in the same season, joining Jack Nicklaus who accomplished the feat in 1978.

However, Smith has never won a major championship, and the model doesn’t expect he’ll hold onto the lead at the 150th Open Championship with players like McIlroy, Johnson and Scheffler lurking close behind. McClure’s model has identified several other golfers with better value in the British Open weekend odds.

Another surprise: Tyrrell Hatton, a 22-1 long shot, makes a surprising run into contention. He has a better chance to win than his odds imply, making him a great British Open weekend sleeper pick. The 30-year old Englishman enters the third round five-strokes off the lead after shooting a 66 in the second round. 

Hatton has been a spectator putter all season, which could come into play this weekend at St. Andrews. In fact, Hatton currently ranks fifth in strokes gained: putting (.745), sixth in total putting (96.9) and seventh in putting average (1.715). Those statistics can help him pick up strokes quickly, so confidently back him in your 2022 Open Championship weekend bets.

How to make 2022 British Open picks

The model is targeting two golfers with odds of 40-1 or longer who will make surprising runs. Anyone who backs these long shots could hit it big. You can only see the model’s British Open picks here.

So who will win the British Open 2022? And which long shots stun the golfing world? Check out the 2022 Open Championship odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2022 Open Championship leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed eight golf majors, including this year’s Masters.

2022 British Open weekend odds, field

See full British Open 2022 picks, best bets, and predictions here.

Cameron Smith +185

Rory McIlroy +340

Viktor Hovland +800

Cameron Young +800

Dustin Johnson +1100

Scottie Scheffler +1200

Tyrrell Hatton +2200

Patrick Cantlay +2500

Matthew Fitzpatrick +4000

Adam Scott +5000

Xander Schauffele +5000

Sahith Theegala +6500

Jordan Spieth +8000

Talor Gooch +8000

Shane Lowry +10000

Jon Rahm +10000

Lucas Herbert +12500

Min Woo Lee +15000

Justin Thomas +15000

Si-Woo Kim +15000

Brad Kennedy +15000

Garrick Higgo +15000

Will Zalatoris +15000

Hideki Matsuyama +20000

Abraham Ancer +20000

Aaron Wise +20000

Kurt Kitayama +25000

Tony Finau +25000

Lee Westwood +25000

Patrick Reed +30000

Sadom Kaewkanjana +30000

Tommy Fleetwood +30000

Robert MacIntyre +30000

Thomas Detry +30000

Harold Varner +30000

Nicolai Hojgaard +30000

Sam Burns +30000

Yuto Katsuragawa +40000

Thriston Lawrence +40000

Victor Perez +40000

John Parry +40000

Trey Mullinax +40000

Thomas Pieters +40000

Jason Kokrak +40000

David Carey +50000

Brian Harman +50000

Cameron Tringale +50000

Laurie Canter +50000

Barclay Brown +50000

Bryson DeChambeau +50000

Ian Poulter +50000

Sergio Garcia +50000

Joohyung Kim +50000

Dylan Frittelli +50000

Chris Kirk +50000

Billy Horschel +50000

Russell Henley +75000

Filippo Celli +75000

Francesco Molinari +75000

Danny Willett +75000

Corey Conners +75000

Sebastian Munoz +75000

Justin De Los Santos +100000

Wyndham Clark +100000

Sihwan Kim +100000

Sungjae Im +100000

Jordan Smith +100000

Christiaan Bezuidenhout +100000

Joaquin Niemann +100000

David Law +100000

Paul Casey +100000

Jason Scrivener +150000

Adrian Meronk +150000

Marcus Armitage +150000

Sam Bairstow +200000

Jamie Rutherford +200000

Robert Dinwiddie +200000

Aaron Jarvis +200000

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