Thursday, August 11, 2022

Mets vs. Cubs odds, prediction, line: 2022 MLB picks, Friday, July 15 best bets from proven model

Update: This game has been postponed until Saturday at 8:05 p.m. ET due to inclement weather

The New York Mets visit Wrigley Field on Friday afternoon for a battle against a National League foe. The Mets take on the Chicago Cubs in the second game of a four-game set in the Windy City. New York won the opener by an 8-0 margin on Thursday evening. The Mets are 56-34 this season, and the Cubs enter at 34-55 overall.

First pitch is at 2:20 p.m. ET in Chicago. Caesars Sportsbook lists New York as a -125 favorite on the money line (risk $125 to win $100), while the over-under, or total number of runs Vegas thinks will be scored, is nine in the latest Mets vs. Cubs odds. Before making any Cubs vs. Mets picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times, and it is 275-236 on top-rated MLB money-line picks since the start of the 2021 season, returning over $400 for $100 players. This is the same model that pegged the 2021 Atlanta Braves at 10-1 as one of three best bets to win it all last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen profitable returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Mets vs. Cubs, and just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several MLB odds and betting lines for Cubs vs. Mets:

  • Mets vs. Cubs money line: Mets -125, Cubs +105
  • Mets vs. Cubs over-under: 9 runs
  • Mets vs. Cubs run line: Mets -1.5 (+130)
  • NYM: The Mets are 24-15 in day games
  • CHI: The Cubs are 15-19 in day games
  • Mets vs. Cubs picks: See picks at SportsLine

Featured Game | Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets

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Why you should back the Mets

Friday’s matchup is juicy for New York’s pitching staff. The Cubs rank below the National League average in runs scored, hits, home runs and strikeout avoidance, with the Mets putting together a strong pitching projection. New York’s bullpen is stout this season, striking out more than 10 batters per nine innings and posting a top-five mark in ERA among NL teams. 

Mets starting pitcher Taijuan Walker is also a point of strength for the team, as the former All-Star right-hander has a 2.63 ERA in 2022. Walker threw seven shutout innings in his last start, boosting already stellar numbers, and he has a 2.29 ERA in his last 12 starts. Opponents are producing only a .587 OPS against Walker in 2022, and he is limiting opponents to 2.4 walks and 0.4 home runs per nine innings to go along with a 1.097 WHIP.

Why you should back the Cubs

Chicago’s offense ranks above the National League average in doubles, triples, stolen bases, walks and on-base percentage. The Cubs also have the benefit of playing at home, and Chicago has a pair of All-Star representatives in Ian Happ and Willson Contreras. With that intriguing baseline on the offensive side, the Cubs will also unleash a quality starting pitching option in Friday’s game. 

Right-hander Marcus Stroman is a former All-Star with the Mets, and he is averaging 3.69 strikeouts for every walk this season for the Cubs. Stroman has allowed more than two runs in only one of his last seven starts, posting a 3.55 ERA in the process, and he is limiting opponents to a .605 OPS across that seven-start sample. The Mets are also vulnerable in a few areas, with below-average marks in home runs, stolen bases and walks in 2022.

How to make Cubs vs. Mets picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, projecting 9.4 combined runs. It also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get the model’s MLB picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Mets vs. Cubs? And which side has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its MLB picks, and find out.

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