Wednesday, August 17, 2022

NASCAR at New Hampshire odds, start time, TV: Model gives surprising 2022 Ambetter 301 picks, predictions

The 2022 Ambetter 301 will take place on Sunday at New Hampshire Motor Speedway, where time is running out for teams to qualify for the upcoming 2022 NASCAR Playoffs. Only 16 teams get in and with 13 different winners and seven races remaining in the regular season, it’s going to be a very crowded NASCAR playoff picture. Kyle Busch and Kurt Busch have both won three times in Loudon, where the former is the 5-1 favorite in the 2022 Ambetter 301 odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the latter is a 25-1 long shot. The 2022 NASCAR at New Hampshire green flag drops at 3 p.m. ET on Sunday on USA (stream now on FuboTV).

Chase Elliott became the first driver in the NASCAR Cup Series to record three wins this season last week in Atlanta and is 7-1 in the 2022 NASCAR at New Hampshire odds. Before scouring the 2022 Ambetter 301 starting lineup and making any 2022 NASCAR New Hampshire predictions, be sure to see the latest NASCAR at New Hampshire picks from SportsLine’s proven projection model.

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.

In the 2021 season, McClure nailed Martin Truex Jr. to win at Martinsville for a strong 3-1 payout. Then, it called Chase Elliott to win at Road America for a 5-2 payout. McClure’s model also called Larson’s win at Texas for an 11-4 payout and his win at Kansas for a 9-4 payout in back-to-back weeks before nailing Larson to win the season-finale in Phoenix to claim the 2021 NASCAR Cup Championship.

In total, it nailed five of Larson’s wins during a historic season and has also gone 15-9 on its head-to-head matchup predictions to start the 2022 season. Earlier this season, it was high on Ross Chastain to win in Austin, giving him a far better shot to win than his 40-1 odds implied. The model was also high on Joey Logano before he won as a 15-1 underdog at Darlington and high on him again when he returned 14-1 for his win in St. Louis. Anyone who followed its lead on those plays saw huge returns on their NASCAR picks.

Now, the model simulated the 2022 NASCAR at New Hampshire race 10,000 times. Head to SportsLine to see the complete projected 2022 Ambetter 301 leaderboard.

Top 2022 Ambetter 301 predictions

One surprise: the model is high on Kevin Harvick, even though he’s a 15-1 long shot in the latest 2022 NASCAR at New Hampshire odds. He’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. If the 2022 NASCAR Playoffs started today, Harvick would be the first driver out since he sits 19 points behind Christopher Bell for the final spot.

Harvick is a four-time winner at “The Magic Mile,” winning the 2006 Sylvania 300, the 2016 Bad Boy Off Road 300 and the Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 (2019 and 2020) on the 1.058-mile oval. He’s finished in the top six in seven of his last eight starts at New Hampshire Motor Speedway. Harvick has only finished outside the top 15 in one of his last nine races and has accumulated enough points to keep himself in the hunt for his 13th consecutive playoff appearance. See which other NASCAR underdogs to pick here.

And a massive shocker: Chase Elliott, one of the Vegas favorites at 7-1, stumbles big-time and barely cracks the top 10. There are far better values in the 2022 Ambetter 301 starting grid. Elliott has been the most consistent driver this season and the 2020 NASCAR Cup Series champion could be well on his way to a second championship before his 27th birthday.

However, New Hampshire Motor Speedway has been a challenge for the young superstar throughout his career. In eight career starts on The Magic Mile, Elliott has only been inside the top 10 twice and his only top-five finish came back in 2018, making it hard to see value with Elliott tied for third favorite. See which other favorites to avoid here.

How to make 2022 NASCAR at New Hampshire picks

The model is also targeting one other driver with 2022 NASCAR at New Hampshire odds of 15-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag. Anyone who backs this driver could hit it big. You can see all of the model’s NASCAR picks over at SportsLine.

So who wins the Ambetter 301 2022? And which long shot makes a run at the checkered flag? Check out the latest 2022 NASCAR at New Hampshire odds below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected 2022 Ambetter 301 leaderboard, all from the model that correctly predicted five of Kyle Larson’s wins last season

2022 Ambetter 301 odds, field

See full NASCAR New Hampshire picks, best bets, and predictions here.

Kyle Busch 5-1

Ryan Blaney 6-1

Chase Elliott 7-1

Joey Logano 7-1

Denny Hamlin 9-1

Martin Truex Jr. 9-1

Kyle Larson 10-1

Ross Chastain 10-1

William Byron 15-1

Kevin Harvick 15-1

Christopher Bell 15-1

Tyler Reddick 20-1

Kurt Busch 25-1

Aric Almirola 25-1

Daniel Suarez 25-1

Chase Briscoe 25-1

Alex Bowman 28-1

Austin Cindric 50-1

Erik Jones 75-1

Brad Keselowski 75-1

Austin Dillon 100-1

Chris Buescher 100-1

Bubba Wallace 100-1

Michael McDowell 200-1

AJ Allmendinger 200-1

Justin Haley 250-1

Ricky Stenhouse 250-1

Cole Custer 250-1

Harrison Burton 750-1

Ty Dillon 1000-1

Corey Lajoie 2500-1

Todd Gilliland 2500-1

Josh Bilicki 5000-1

JJ Yeley 5000-1

BJ McLeod 5000-1

Cody Ware 5000-1

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