Saturday, August 13, 2022

Fantasy Baseball Week 16 Preview: Top sleeper hitters for both four- and 11-game week, led by Matt Carpenter

The typical Fantasy scoring period runs Monday through Sunday, but an exception must be made for the All-Star break, which eats up half of what would be Week 16. Games resume Thursday, so you don’t actually have to set your lineup until then. The question is whether your league treats Thursday through Sunday as its own four-day scoring period or combines it with the following week for a supersized 11-day scoring period.

The CBS default is the former, but I have recommendations for you either way. For the shorter period, note that the number of games a team is scheduled to play matters more than ever for your start/sit decisions. Some teams (Astros, Yankees and Twins) are scheduled for five games while one (Twins) is scheduled for only two. 

All hitters depicted here are rostered in less than 80 percent of CBS Sports leagues.

Sleeper hitters for short Week 16 (July 21-24)

Best hitter matchups for short Week 16

1. Athletics DET2, TEX3

2. Yankees @HOU2, @BAL3

3. Astros NYY2, @SEA3

4. Marlins TEX1, @PIT3

5. Rangers @MIA1, @OAK3

Worst hitter matchups for short Week 16

1. Twins @DET2

2. Red Sox TOR3

3. Rockies @MIL3

4. Angels @ATL3

5. Cubs @PHI3

Sleeper hitters for long Week 16 (July 21-31)

Matchups: @HOU2, @BAL3, @NYM2, KC4

If the matchups have anything to say about it, you’re not too late to enjoy Carpenter’s historic run. The Yankees are scheduled for 11 games in the 11-day scoring period, including a combined seven against the Orioles and Royals staffs.

Matchups: DET2, TEX3, HOU3, @CHW3

The Athletics’ 11-game schedule gives Laureano a game or two advantage over the majority of hitters in the extended scoring period, but mostly, he’s worth starting because he’s hot, having homered five times in his past 12 games.

Matchups; TB3, LAA3, @NYY4

Pasquantino looks like he’ll miss Shane McClanahan in the Rays series and Shohei Ohtani in the Angels series, which makes his matchups decent enough. He was getting more comfortable just before the break, and the Statcast data still paints a favorable picture.

Matchups: COL4, MIN2, @BOS3

Though the Brewers are scheduled for only nine games in the 11-day scoring period, just one is against a lefty, which should keep Tellez’s bat in the lineup. And who’s the best of the pitchers he’ll be facing? Maybe German Marquez. It’s a favorable slate to be sure.

Matchups: STL3, MIA4, BAL3

The Reds have the fifth-best hitter matchups during the supersized Week 16, and of their hitters with any availability in Fantasy, Votto remains one of the better bets to take advantage. Though he hasn’t set the world on fire, he has hit a respectable .259 with an .833 OPS since returning from COVID-19 in late May.

Best hitter matchups for long Week 16

1. Dodgers SF4, WAS3, @COL4

2. Rays @KC3, @BAL4, CLE3

3. Astros NYY2, @SEA3, @OAK3, SEA4

4. Yankees @HOU2, @BAL3, @NYM2, KC4

5. Reds STL3, MIA4, BAL3

Worst hitter matchups for long Week 16

1. Twins @DET2, @MIL2, @SD3

2. Mets SD3, NYY2, @MIA3

3. Rockies @MIL4, CHW2, LAD4

4. Cubs @PHI3, PIT2, @SF4

5. Nationals @ARI3, @LAD3, STL3

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