Sunday, August 14, 2022

Mets vs. Nationals odds, prediction, line: 2022 MLB picks, Monday, August 1 best bets from proven model

The Washington Nationals welcome the New York Mets to the nation’s capital for a clash of NL East rivals. Monday’s game is the opener of a midweek series between the clubs. The Nationals are 35-68 this season, and the Mets are 64-37 to lead the NL East.

Caesars Sportsbook lists New York as the -267 money-line favorite (risk $267 to win $100) for this 7:05 p.m. ET first pitch. The total number of runs Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over-under, is eight in the latest Mets vs. Nationals odds. Before making any Nationals vs. Mets picks, be sure to see the MLB predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times, and it enters Week 18 on a 20-14 roll on top-rated MLB picks, returning almost $400 for $100 players. This is the same model that pegged the 2021 Atlanta Braves at 10-1 as one of three best bets to win it all last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen profitable returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Mets vs. Nationals and just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Now, here are several MLB odds and betting lines for Nationals vs. Mets:

  • Mets vs. Nationals money line: Mets -267, Nationals +215
  • Mets vs. Nationals over-under: 8 runs
  • Mets vs. Nationals run line: Mets -1.5 (-135)
  • NYN: The Mets are 37-23 in night games
  • WAS: The Nationals are 19-42 in night games
  • Mets vs. Nationals picks: See picks at SportsLine

Featured Game | Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets

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Why you should back the Mets

New York is rolling in 2022, leading the NL East in impressive fashion. The Mets are in the top three of the National League in batting average, on-base percentage, and strikeout avoidance, and New York is above-average in runs scored, hits, triples, and OPS. On the run prevention side, the Mets can be confident in starting pitcher Max Scherzer. The veteran right-hander is one of the best pitchers in baseball, and Scherzer is a three-time Cy Young winner and an eight-time All-Star. He boasts a 2.09 ERA and a 0.90 WHIP this season, with 11.4 strikeouts and only 1.6 walks per nine innings. 

Scherzer produced a 1.39 ERA in July, and opponents have a .562 OPS against him over the entire 2022 season. New York’s bullpen is also above-average this season, and the Mets are facing a Washington lineup with below-average metrics in home runs, runs scored, slugging percentage, and OPS in 2022. The Nationals are also sending struggling starter Patrick Corbin (4-14, 6.49 ERA) to the hill, further boosting New York’s overall edge in this one. 

Why you should back the Nationals

Washington’s offensive profile is intriguing. At the top, the Nationals have a pair of star-level performers in Josh Bell and Juan Soto. Bell is a former All-Star with top-10 marks in hits, doubles and OPS this season. Soto, a two-time All-Star, has more walks than strikeouts with a top-five on-base percentage and a top-10 OPS this season. 

The Nationals also lead the NL in strikeout avoidance this season, with above-average marks in hits, doubles, and batting average. From there, Washington can take solace in a few weaknesses of New York’s offense this season. The Mets have been productive and effective overall, but New York is below the NL average in doubles, home runs, stolen bases and walks in 2022.

How to make Nationals vs. Mets picks

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