Wednesday, August 17, 2022

Yankees vs. Mariners odds, prediction, line: 2022 MLB picks, Wednesday, August 3 best bets from proven model

The New York Yankees aim for a series win on Wednesday. The Yankees face the Seattle Mariners in the finale of a three-game set. The two AL rivals split the first two games, with Seattle winning on Tuesday. The Mariners are 56-49 overall, while the Yankees bring an MLB-best 70-35 record into Wednesday’s matchup.

First pitch is at 1:05 p.m. ET in New York. Caesars Sportsbook lists New York as a -178 favorite (risk $178 to win $100) on the money line, while the over-under, or total number of runs Vegas thinks will be scored, is seven in the latest Mariners vs. Yankees odds. Before you make any Yankees vs. Mariners picks, be sure to see the MLB predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times, and it enters Week 18 on a 20-14 roll on top-rated MLB picks, returning almost $400 for $100 players. This is the same model that pegged the 2021 Atlanta Braves at 10-1 as one of three best bets to win it all last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen profitable returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Yankees vs. Mariners and just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several MLB odds and betting lines for Mariners vs. Yankees:

  • Mariners vs. Yankees money line: Yankees -178, Mariners +150
  • Mariners vs. Yankees over-under: 7 runs
  • Mariners vs. Yankees run line: Yankees -1.5 (+130)
  • SEA: The Mariners are 20-19 in day games
  • NYY: The Yankees are 23-11 in day games
  • Mariners vs. Yankees picks: See picks at SportsLine

Featured Game | New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners

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Why you should back the Mariners

Seattle can be confident with Luis Castillo on the hill. The two-time All-Star is making his first start in a Mariners uniform after arriving in a deadline deal from Cincinnati. Castillo has a 2.86 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP this season, with 9.53 strikeouts and 2.96 walks per nine innings. Opponents have only a .592 OPS against Castillo this season, and he owns a blistering career ground ball rate of 53.2 percent. 

Castillo has been dominant lately, posting a 1.59 ERA in his last five starts, and Seattle’s bullpen is above-average on the whole. Seattle’s relievers rank in the top three of the AL in strikeout rate and walk rate, and the Mariners are also in the top three of the league in walks on offense. The Mariners are above the league average in home runs, triples, and on-base percentage in 2022.

Why you should back the Yankees

In addition to a lights-out offense, the Yankees have an elite starting pitcher on the hill on Wednesday in Gerrit Cole. The five-time All-Star has a 3.30 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP with an AL-leading 162 strikeouts. Cole is generating 11.6 strikeouts and only 2.3 walks per nine innings, with opponents producing a .628 OPS against him. Cole also owns a 2.55 ERA at home and a 1.86 career ERA against Seattle. 

New York’s bullpen is very strong, including top-three marks in wins above replacement, ground ball rate, and ERA, and the Yankees are highly potent on offense. New York leads the AL in runs scored, home runs, on-base percentage, slugging percentage, OPS, and total bases this season, with the Yankees also posting a top-three mark in the league in stolen bases. 

How to make Mariners vs. Yankees picks

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