Saturday, August 13, 2022

2022 MLB odds, picks, bets for Thursday, Aug. 4 from proven model: This four-way parlay pays more than 19-1

The top two teams in the NL East collide on Thursday when the New York Mets host the Atlanta Braves in the first game of a key five-game series at Citi Field. The Mets (66-38) lead the division by 3.5 games over the second-place Braves (63-42). New York’s Carlos Carrasco (11-4, 3.79 ERA) takes on Atlanta’s Kyle Wright (13-4, 2.93) with both starters ranking among the top five in wins. New York is a -120 favorite in the latest Mets vs. Braves odds from Caesars Sportsbook while Atlanta is a +100 underdog.

First pitch is set for 7:10 p.m. ET from Queens, N.Y. The game is one of 13 on the MLB schedule for Thursday. Elsewhere in the majors, the newly acquired Noah Syndergaard makes his first start for the Phillies, and the Cardinals and Cubs play a doubleheader in St. Louis. Before making any MLB picks or parlays, be sure to check out the MLB predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times, and it enters Week 18 on a 20-14 roll on top-rated MLB picks, returning almost $400 for $100 players. This is the same model that pegged the 2021 Atlanta Braves at 10-1 as one of three best bets to win it all last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen profitable returns.

Now, the model has locked in four confident MLB best bets for Thursday. They all involve games at 7:10 p.m. ET or later, so there’s still time to get these MLB picks in. If you successfully parlay the picks, you’d be looking at a payout of more than 19-1. You can see the model’s MLB picks only at SportsLine

Top MLB picks today

After simulating every game on Thursday 10,000 times, the model is high on the Tigers (+158) to beat the Rays. Detroit (42-64) is returning to Comerica Park after a seven-game road trip to Toronto and Minnesota. The Tigers are a much better team at home (25-27) than on the road (17-37).

In addition, the Detroit pitching has excelled recently. In the last 10 games, the Tigers staff has a 2.90 ERA, while Tampa’s team ERA is 3.72 over that time. In his last start, Detroit’s Drew Hutchison allowed only one run on just two hits in five innings to the Blue Jays.

Featured Game | Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays

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How to make MLB picks and parlays for Thursday

The model also locked in three other best bets for Thursday, including a play on a big American League underdog. You can see the model’s MLB Thursday best bets and parlay only at SportsLine.

What MLB picks should you target for a payout of more than 19-1? And what underdog does the model like on Thursday? Visit SportsLine now to see the MLB best bets from an advanced model that is on a 20-14 roll on top-rated MLB money-line picks.

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