Saturday, October 1, 2022

Fantasy Football Rankings 2022: Busts from NFL model that called Julio Jones’ disappointing season

Some considered 2021 to be a make-or-break year for Eagles running back Miles Sanders. Although many respected his big-play potential, concerns about his ability to play an entire season were enough for a number of Fantasy players to stay away from him. Sanders ended the year with an impressive 5.5-yards-per-carry average, but missed five games and had fewer than 10 carries in six others. Where should Sanders be in your 2022 Fantasy football rankings?

Solid 2022 Fantasy football draft prep will help you avoid the frustration of having to work around inconsistent players at key positions. Avoiding 2022 Fantasy football busts at running back starts with finding which players are likely to get steady volume on a weekly basis. As you begin your 2022 Fantasy football draft prep, be sure to check out the 2022 Fantasy football cheat sheets from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Last year, SportsLine’s model accurately predicted that Titans wide receiver Julio Jones was being dramatically overvalued. He was being drafted around in the fifth round on average, but SportsLine predicted he wasn’t even close to being one of the top 20 wide receivers. Jones wound up turning in an incredibly disappointing stat line, catching 31 passes for 434 yards and one touchdown. 

The same model has a proven track record providing Fantasy football tips, also identifying A.J. Brown as a sleeper in 2020 and JuJu Smith-Schuster as Fantasy football bust last season. It also nailed Jonathan Taylor’s big season and was all over Jaylen Waddle to outperform his Fantasy football ADP. Additionally, it’s called past Fantasy football sleepers like Derrick Henry in 2019, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, and Davante Adams in 2017. Anybody who banked on players like those made a run at their league title.

The model is powered by the same people who generated projections for all three major Fantasy sites, and it beat human experts last season when there was a big difference in ranking. The projections update multiple times daily, so you’re always getting the best Fantasy football advice.

Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest Fantasy football rankings 2022, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head to SportsLine now to see them

Top 2022 Fantasy football busts

One of the 2022 Fantasy football busts the model is predicting: Jets wide receiver Elijah Moore. He started six of the 11 games he played in last season and finished with 538 yards and five touchdowns. Considering he missed one game with a concussion and played in a struggling Jets offense, those numbers weren’t poor, but he may not have a much better opportunity to improve on them this season.

The Jets drafted another running back to its stable, Breece Hall, but more relevant to Moore, they drafted wide receiver Garrett Wilson 10th overall. Those picks, in addition to the return of Corey Davis and the emergence of Braxton Berrios, don’t bode well for Moore coming back with a breakout season in 2022. Moore also finished with an underwhelming 55.8 percent catch rate and missed five games. The ingredients just aren’t there to support Moore’s eighth-round 2022 Fantasy football ADP, which is why the model projects later picks like Darnell Mooney, Hunter Renfrow and Christian Kirk to all be better choices.

Another bust that SportsLine’s Fantasy football rankings 2022 have identified: Chiefs running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire. Talk about Edwards-Helaire’s bust potential was part of the conversation surrounding him last season, even though he battled his way to a productive campaign. Head coach Andy Reid has a reputation of sticking with one running back in his offense, but the team also signed former Tampa Bay back Ronald Jones and re-signed Jerick McKinnon to a one-year deal in the offseason.

Last year, Edwards-Helaire missed five games due to a knee sprain, but still managed to match his 2020 touchdown total of four and maintain a 4.3 yards per carry average. Heading into 2021, there were already concerns about his ability to stay healthy, and besides the knee injury, he also dealt with a preseason ankle sprain and a shoulder bruise later in the year. With Tyreek Hill no longer on the team, defenses may be more likely to crowd the line of scrimmage on earlier downs, which doesn’t bode well for Edwards-Helaire. The model projects players with a later 2022 Fantasy football ADP like Tony Pollard and Chase Edmonds to be better options.

How to find proven 2022 Fantasy football rankings

SportsLine is also extremely low on a running back coming off the board in the third or fourth round on average of 2022 Fantasy football drafts. The model ranks him outside its top 24 running backs for 2022 and expects him to see major regression after a breakout season in 2021. You can only see who it is, and the 2022 Fantasy football rankings for every player, at SportsLine.

So which 2022 Fantasy Football breakouts should you be targeting? And which RB will fail to live up to expectations in 2022? Visit SportsLine now to get 2022 Fantasy Football cheat sheets for every single position, all from the model that told you to avoid Julio Jones in 2021, and find out.

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