Tuesday, September 27, 2022

Braves vs. Marlins odds, prediction, line: 2022 MLB picks, Saturday, August 13 best bets from proven model

The Atlanta Braves and Miami Marlins continue a weekend series on Saturday. The NL East foes face off in a doubleheader, with the first contest set for an afternoon start. LoanDepot Park in Miami hosts the festivities, and it is the second game of a four-game set. The Braves won the opener by a 4-3 margin on Friday evening.

First pitch is at 1:10 p.m. ET in Miami. Caesars Sportsbook lists Atlanta as a -125 road favorite (risk $125 to win $100) on the money line, while the over/under, or total number of runs Vegas thinks will be scored, is 7 in the latest Braves vs. Marlins odds. Before making any Marlins vs. Braves picks, you need to see the MLB predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s advanced computer simulation model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times, and it is 299-254 on top-rated MLB money-line picks since the start of the 2021 season, returning over $800 for $100 players. This is the same model that pegged the 2021 Atlanta Braves at 10-1 as one of three best bets to win it all last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen profitable returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Braves vs. Marlins and just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Now, here are several MLB odds and betting lines for Marlins vs. Braves:

  • Braves vs. Marlins money line: Braves -125, Marlins +105
  • Braves vs. Marlins over-under: 7 runs
  • Braves vs. Marlins run line: Braves -1.5 (+143)
  • ATL: The Braves are 18-22 in day games
  • MIA: The Marlins are 22-22 in day games
  • Braves vs. Marlins picks: See picks at SportsLine

Featured Game | Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves

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Why you should back the Marlins

Miami has the edge in playing at home, and the Marlins have tremendous team speed. Miami leads the NL in stolen bases this season, and the Marlins also have a fully capable bullpen with stout metrics in key areas. Miami is also in a friendly position with its starting pitcher in this matchup with Jesus Luzardo taking the mound against Kyle Muller, who was just called up from Triple-A for Atlanta. Luzardo owns a 3.29 ERA this season, and he has 52 strikeouts in 41 innings of work. 

Luzardo also enters Saturday with a 0.95 WHIP and opponents have a .551 OPS against him in 2022. On other side, Muller has a 5.49 ERA in his career and, in his lone start this season, Atlanta’s starter allowed seven earned runs in 2.2 innings of work. Muller was not originally scheduled to start for the Braves on Saturday, and that is an edge for the Marlins.

Why you should back the Braves

Atlanta’s offense is an enormous X-factor in Saturday afternoon’s matchup. The Braves lead the National League in total bases and home runs, blasting their way to a top-tier placement in the playoff picture. Atlanta is also in the top three of the NL in slugging percentage, doubles, runs scored and OPS this season, with top-five marks in hits and batting average. 

Eight players on the Braves roster have already reached double figures in home runs, and seven regulars entered the weekend with an OPS over .740 in 2022. From there, the Braves also have strong pitching all over the roster, headlined by the best bullpen in the National League. Atlanta leads the NL in wins above replacement from relievers, and the Braves relief corps ranks in the top three of the league in strikeout rate, walk rate, home run rate and ERA this season.

How to make Marlins vs. Braves picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the run total, projecting 8.1 combined runs. It also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only see the model’s MLB picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Braves vs. Marlins? And which side has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its MLB picks, and find out.  

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