Thursday, February 22, 2024

Fantasy Football Rankings 2022: Busts from top-rated model that called Julio Jones’ disappointing year

Training camp and preseason performance updates from beat writers can trip you up when trying to determine which players will finish as 2022 Fantasy football busts, breakouts, or sleepers. Leonard Fournette was rumored to have shown up to Buccaneers training camp weighing in at close to 260 pounds, which could affect your 2022 Fantasy football strategy. Last year, Ja’Marr Chase had everyone nervous with drop issues during camp and preseason. Of course, he went on to be a championship-winning player for owners who were willing to tune out the concern and he’ll be high up in the 2022 Fantasy football rankings. As you begin your 2022 Fantasy football draft prep, be sure to check out the 2022 Fantasy football cheat sheets from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Last year, SportsLine’s model accurately predicted that Titans wide receiver Julio Jones was being dramatically overvalued. He was being drafted around in the fifth round on average, but SportsLine predicted he wasn’t even close to being one of the top 20 wide receivers. Jones wound up turning in an incredibly disappointing stat line, catching 31 passes for 434 yards and one touchdown. 

The same model has a proven track record providing Fantasy football tips, also identifying A.J. Brown as a sleeper in 2020 and JuJu Smith-Schuster as Fantasy football bust last season. It also nailed Jonathan Taylor’s big season and was all over Jaylen Waddle to outperform his Fantasy football ADP. Additionally, it’s called past Fantasy football sleepers like Derrick Henry in 2019, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, and Davante Adams in 2017. Anybody who banked on players like those made a run at their league title.

The model is powered by the same people who generated projections for all three major Fantasy sites, and it beat human experts last season when there was a big difference in ranking. The projections update multiple times daily, so you’re always getting the best Fantasy football advice.

Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest Fantasy football rankings 2022, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head to SportsLine now to see them

Top 2022 Fantasy football busts

One of the 2022 Fantasy football busts the model is predicting: Cowboys running back Ezekiel Elliott. He has been a consistent contributor for owners over the years. In fact, he’s never finished outside the top 12 running backs in Fantasy.

However, Elliott averaged a pedestrian 4.2 yards per carry and a career-low 58.9 rushing yards per game in 2021. His numbers were even worse late in the season, when he averaged just 3.5 yards per carry and 3.7 yards per target over his final nine outings. He’s also expected to split carries with Tony Pollard, who averaged 5.5 yards on 130 carries last season. That’s one of the main reasons why the model ranks Elliott behind fellow running backs like Damien Harris and Josh Jacobs, both of whom are being drafted after Elliott.

Another bust that SportsLine’s Fantasy football rankings 2022 have identified: 49ers wide receiver Brandon Aiyuk. Reports about Aiyuk’s relationship with quarterback Trey Lance have been encouraging, but reviews about his form in practices and training camp have been mixed. Fantasy owners willing to roster him are doing so with a measure of optimism, as he’ll head into the regular season without having been featured in any of the team’s preseason games.

Aiyuk finished with 826 receiving yards and five touchdowns in 2021, but those numbers fell short of what was expected following a rookie season in which he had more receptions and total touchdowns. A big part of Lance’s game comes down to his running ability, which only serves to limit Aiyuk’s volume in the passing game even more this season. The model projects Aiyuk to finish short of other players with a lower 2022 Fantasy football ADP like Skyy Moore, Russell Gage and Donovan Peoples-JonesSee which other Fantasy football busts 2022 to avoid here.

How to find proven 2022 Fantasy football rankings

SportsLine is also extremely low on a running back coming off the board in the third or fourth round on average of 2022 Fantasy football drafts. The model ranks him outside its top 24 running backs for 2022 and expects him to see major regression after a breakout season in 2021. You can only see who it is, and the 2022 Fantasy football rankings for every player, at SportsLine.

So which 2022 Fantasy Football breakouts should you be targeting? And which RB will fail to live up to expectations in 2022? Visit SportsLine now to get 2022 Fantasy Football cheat sheets for every single position, all from the model that told you to avoid Julio Jones in 2021, and find out.

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