Wednesday, July 17, 2024

Nevada vs. New Mexico State odds, spread: 2022 college football picks, Week 0 predictions by proven model

The 2022 college football season will get underway on Saturday, and the first day includes a contest between Nevada and New Mexico State. Both teams are entering the campaign with first-year head coaches, as Ken Wilson is taking over at Nevada and Jerry Kill is at the helm for New Mexico State. The Wolf Pack finished with an 8-5 (5-3) record in the Mountain West last season, while the Aggies went 2-10 as an independent. 

Kickoff is at 10 p.m. ET in Las Cruces. Caesars Sportsbook lists Nevada as a 9-point favorite, while the over/under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 50.5 in the latest Nevada vs. New Mexico State odds. Before making any New Mexico State vs. Nevada picks or college football predictions, you need to see what SportsLine’s advanced computer model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,600 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also finished the 2021-22 college football season on a 43-31 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Nevada vs. New Mexico State and just locked in its picks and CFB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Now, here are several college football odds and betting lines for New Mexico State vs. Nevada:

  • Nevada vs. New Mexico State spread: Nevada -9
  • Nevada vs. New Mexico State over/under: 50.5 points 
  • Nevada vs. New Mexico State money line: Nevada -340, New Mexico State +270
  • Nevada vs. New Mexico State picks: See picks here.

Featured Game | New Mexico State Aggies vs. Nevada Wolf Pack

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Why Nevada can cover

Nevada might be dealing with a complete overhaul, but it added more talent than New Mexico State in the offseason. The Wolf Pack got wide receiver BJ Casteel from Arizona and tight end Cooper Shults from Oregon, giving them several high-level pieces to work around. They also return fifth-year running back Toa Taua, who is going to help stabilize the offense early in the season.

Their secondary should be strong as well after adding Michigan transfer Darion Green-Warren. He joins Tyson Williams, Bentlee Sanders and JoJuan Claiborne in a talented group of defensive backs. New Mexico State is replacing most of its key production from last year as well, and the Aggies were not as successful as Nevada in the transfer portal.  

Why New Mexico State can cover

New Mexico State might be coming off a 2-10 season, but there are several positive signs heading into the 2022 campaign. First, the Aggies are just one year away from joining Conference USA, which will give the team new opportunities moving forward. They also added head coach Jerry Kill, who has been successful at just about every stop during his career. 

Kill likes his teams to control the clock with a heavy dose of the rushing attack, which suits this roster well. Former Michigan running back O’Maury Samuels and TCU transfer Ahmonte Watkins are prepared to carry the load on Saturday night, running behind an offensive line that returns three starters. They are going to limit Nevada’s overall possessions, which creates fewer chances for the Wolf Pack to cover this spread. 

How to make Nevada vs. New Mexico State picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Over on the point total, with both teams projected to score at least three touchdowns. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 60% of simulations. You can only see the model’s Nevada vs. New Mexico State picks at SportsLine.

So who wins New Mexico State vs. Nevada? And which side of the spread hits in well over 60% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Nevada vs. New Mexico State spread you need to jump on Saturday, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out. 

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