Saturday, February 24, 2024

Chiefs vs. Chargers odds, spread, line: Thursday Night Football picks, predictions by NFL model on 139-98 roll

If recent history is any indication, there will be no shortage of points when the Los Angeles Chargers visit the Kansas City Chiefs on Thursday Night Football. Since Kansas City posted a 10-3 home victory in December 2016, the AFC West rivals have combined for at least 34 points in their last 12 meetings, totaling at least 52 on eight occasions. The Chiefs put on an offensive display in their 2022 season-opener, rolling to a 44-21 victory at Arizona, while the Chargers topped Las Vegas 24-19 at home in their first divisional game of the year.

Kickoff from Arrowhead Stadium is set for 8:15 p.m. ET. Kansas City is a four-point favorite in the latest Chiefs vs. Chargers odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 54.5. Before making any Chargers vs. Chiefs picks, be sure to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up more than $7,500 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 2 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 139-98 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has set its sights on Chiefs vs. Chargers, and just locked in its Thursday Night Football picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Now, here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Chargers vs. Chiefs:

  • Chiefs vs. Chargers spread: Kansas City -4
  • Chiefs vs. Chargers over/under: 54.5 points
  • Chiefs vs. Chargers money line: Kansas City -210, Los Angeles +175
  • KC: Chiefs are 6-1 against the spread in their last seven home games
  • LAC: Chargers are 1-5 ATS in their last six contests following a straight-up win
  • Chiefs vs. Chargers picks: See picks at SportsLine

Featured Game | Kansas City Chiefs vs. Los Angeles Chargers

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Why the Chiefs can cover

After ending 2021 with a disappointing overtime loss at home to Cincinnati in the AFC Championship Game, Kansas City showed it has something to prove this season with its Week 1 effort. The Chiefs racked up 488 yards of total offense and recorded six touchdowns in a rout of the Cardinals, with five different players finding the end zone. Running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire, who had two receiving TDs last year, matched that total as he hauled in a pair of Patrick Mahomes‘ five scoring passes.

Travis Kelce also made a touchdown catch while recording 121 yards on eight receptions. It was the 30th career 100-yard outing by Kelce, putting him two behind Rob Gronkowski for most by a tight end in NFL history. Fellow tight end Jody Fortson recorded his sixth reception in seven career games on Sunday and third for a TD, with his first scoring catch coming against the Chargers last year.

Why the Chargers can cover

After losing 11 of 12 meetings with the Chiefs from 2014-19, Los Angeles has played its division rival tough over the last two seasons. The Chargers have split the four matchups, posting both victories in Kansas City while suffering both losses in overtime. Justin Herbert was a big factor in those four contests as he threw for 1,130 yards with 10 TD passes and just two interceptions while also running for three scores.

The 24-year-old signal-caller was especially effective in the two wins at Arrowhead, racking up 583 passing yards with seven TD tosses and no interceptions. Herbert’s 2022 debut was not as strong as Patrick Mahomes’, but it was impressive nonetheless. The 24-year-old completed 26-of-34 attempts for 279 yards with three scoring passes and no picks, giving him 31 touchdowns and just seven interceptions against AFC West rivals in his brief career.

How to make Chargers vs. Chiefs picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Under on the total, projecting 54 combined points scored. The model also says one side of the spread hits in nearly 60% of simulations. You can only see the model’s Chiefs vs. Chargers picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Chiefs vs. Chargers on Thursday Night Football? And which side of the spread hits almost 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Chargers vs. Chiefs spread you need to jump on, all from the model that’s 139-98 on NFL picks, and find out.

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