The No. 3 Ohio State Buckeyes will wrap up the non-conference portion of their schedule when they host the Toledo Rockets on Saturday night. Ohio State won its first two games by double digits, taking down then-No. 5 Notre Dame in Week 1 and Arkansas State in Week 2. Toledo is also unbeaten coming into this matchup, recording wins over Long Island University and UMass.
Kickoff is set for 7 p.m. ET. The Buckeyes are favored by 32 points in the latest Ohio State vs. Toledo odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 62. Before entering any Toledo vs. Ohio State picks, you’ll want to see the college football predictions from the advanced computer model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,400 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It enters Week 3 of the 2022 college football season on a 50-41 run on all top-rated college football spread and money-line picks that dates back to 2021. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
- Ohio State vs. Toledo spread: Ohio State -32
- Ohio State vs. Toledo over/under: 62 points
- Ohio State vs. Toledo picks: See picks here
Why Ohio State can cover
Ohio State is amid a five-game homestand to open the season, so the Buckeyes are in a good scheduling spot against a Toledo team that is on the road for the first time this year. Junior quarterback C.J. Stroud has thrown for 574 yards and six touchdowns, and this is an opportunity for him to boost his Heisman Trophy resume. Sophomore wide receivers Marvin Harrison Jr. and Emeka Egbuka have both gone over 200 receiving yards already, stepping up in place of an injured Jaxon Smith-Njigba, who is questionable to play in this game.
The rushing attack has been strong as well, with sophomore running back TreVeyon Henderson averaging 7.1 yards per carry on 25 attempts. Toledo hasn’t faced a team with Ohio State’s depth this season, so the Rockets will not be adequately prepared for this matchup. Ohio State has won eight consecutive home games and the Buckeyes are giving up just 11.0 points per game on defense this season.
Why Toledo can cover
Toledo has made light work of its first two opponents this season, cruising to wins against Long Island and UMass. The Rockets were only 28-point favorites in their 45-point win against the Minutemen, so they exceeded expectations in that game. Sophomore quarterback Dequan Finn has passed for 393 yards and three touchdowns, while also rushing for 138 yards and three scores.
Junior wide receiver Jerjuan Newton has caught eight passes for 160 yards, while sophomore wideout DeMeer Blankumsee has caught 13 passes for 88 yards. Ohio State’s win over Notre Dame does not look as impressive after the Fighting Irish lost to Marshall in Week 2. The Buckeyes have only covered the spread once in their last four games, while Toledo has covered seven times in its last eight road games.
How to make Ohio State vs. Toledo picks
The model has simulated Toledo vs. Ohio State 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in almost 70% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Ohio State vs. Toledo? And which side of the spread hits in almost 70% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Toledo vs. Ohio State spread you need to jump on Saturday, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.