Thursday, October 6, 2022

Arsenal vs. Brentford prediction, odds: Expert reveals English Premier League picks for Sept. 18, 2022

Brentford has designs on another stunner on their home turf Sunday when they host Arsenal in a London derby in the English Premier League. The Bees hosted the Gunners in their Premier League debut last season, after 74 years in the lower levels of English football, and they pulled off a shocking 2-0 victory. Arsenal returned the favor in the February rematch at the Emirates, winning 2-1. Now, both teams have found their scoring touch but have been shaky on the back end, so things could get interesting in West London on Sunday. Brentford (2-3-1) haven’t played since a 5-2 victory against Leeds on Sept. 3. Arsenal’s last league match saw their perfect start evaporate in a 3-1 loss to Manchester United at Old Trafford. They played a Europa League match four days later, winning 2-1 with a team of mostly backups.

Kickoff from Brentford Community Stadium is set for 7 a.m. ET on Sunday. Caesars Sportsbook lists Arsenal as the -127 favorites (risk $127 to win $100) on the 90-minute money line in its latest Brentford vs. Arsenal odds. Brentford are the +330 underdogs, a draw is priced at +285 and the over/under for total goals scored is 2.5. Before locking in any Arsenal vs. Brentford picks or any EPL bets, be sure you see the English Premier League predictions from proven soccer insider Martin Green

After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper and has covered the game worldwide. Since then, his European soccer picks have been stunningly accurate. Green has generated almost $33,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season, and he is 8-5 on his past 13 EPL picks and 22-17 over his past 39 soccer picks overall. He has his finger on the pulse of the game all over the globe.

Now, Green has broken down the Brentford vs. Arsenal matchup from every angle and locked in his Premier League picks. You can head to SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Arsenal vs. Brentford:

  • Brentford vs. Arsenal spread: Arsenal -0.5 
  • Brentford vs. Arsenal over/under: 2.5 goals 
  • Brentford vs. Arsenal money line: Brentford +330, Arsenal -127, Draw +285 
  • BRN: They have scored at least twice in four of their six league matches 
  • ARS: They have scored multiple goals in six of their seven games overall 
  • Brentford vs. Arsenal picks: See picks here

Featured Game | Brentford vs. Arsenal

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Why You Should Back Arsenal 

The Gunners have been stewing over the unfortunate loss at Old Trafford for 10 days. They held the ball for 61% of the match and had a 16-10 edge in shots but were vulnerable on counter-attack. Bukayo Saka scored the lone goal, and he also got on the board in the victory against Brentford in February. He has that one goal and two assists this season and plays a key role along with Martin Odegaard and Gabriel Martinelli, who have three goals apiece. Gabriel Jesus has been the key, and he shares the team lead with three goals and has three assists.

Arsenal put just three attempts on target against United, and that has been an issue at times. Now they face a Brentford squad that has allowed the second-most shots on target in the league (35). Arsenal put eight on net in the last meeting. The Gunners were dealing with a lot of absences because of COVID in last season’s opener, but they still held the ball for 65 percent of the match. They had 61 percent possession in the February meeting and had a 24-6 edge in total shots, allowing two on net. The Gunners have two clean sheets in their three road games.

Why you should back Brentford

The Bees have had a lot of time off and hope they haven’t lost momentum, but their top player should come in with tremendous confidence. Ivan Toney, who had a hat trick in the victory against Leeds the last time out, was called up to the England national team for the first time. He received word on Thursday, so he should still be soaring, and he has a realistic chance to make the World Cup squad. He has five of the team’s 15 goals, second only to Manchester City’s 20 and even with Liverpool in league play. Arsenal have conceded in four straight matches.    

Christian Norgaard scored two of the Bees’ goals against Arsenal last season, but he is out, so Yoane Wissa and Bryan Mbeumo are among the top scoring options. Both netted their second goals of the season against Leeds, and Josh Dasilva also has two. The Bees have put 38.2 percent of their shots on target (29 of 76), tied for second-best in the EPL, and have scored on almost half of them. Arsenal yield the third-highest percentage on net at 38.3, behind Brentford’s 38.5, so we could be looking at a lot of work for the goalkeepers. Brentford’s David Raya has a 74.3 save percentage.

How to make EPL and Brentford vs. Arsenal picks

Green has taken a close look at the Brentford vs. Arsenal matchup from all sides and revealed his best bets. He is leaning Over on the goal total and provides three confident best bets, including two that would pay off at plus money. He’s only sharing his EPL picks here.

So, who wins Arsenal vs. Brentford in Sunday’s English Premier League matchup? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets for the Brentford vs. Arsenal match, all from the European soccer expert who has generated almost $33,000 for $100 bettors over the past four seasons, and find out.

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