Friday, October 7, 2022

Bears vs. Packers odds, line, spread: Sunday Night Football picks, predictions by NFL model on 138-98 roll

The defending NFC North Division champion Green Bay Packers will try to put a disappointing opening-week loss behind them when they open their home schedule on Sunday Night Football against the Chicago Bears. The Packers (0-1) could muster little offense in a 23-7 Week 1 loss at Minnesota. The Bears (1-0), meanwhile, outlasted the San Francisco 49ers 19-10 in a monsoon at Soldier Field. Green Bay has won the last six meetings against Chicago and leads the all-time series, 102-94-6.

Kickoff from Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wis., is set for 8:20 p.m. ET. Green Bay is a 10-point favorite in the latest Bears vs. Packers odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 41.5. Before making any Packers vs. Bears picks, be sure to check out the NFL predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up more than $7,500 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 2 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 139-98 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has set its sights on Bears vs. Packers and just locked in its picks and SNF predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the NFL odds and betting lines for Bears vs. Packers:

  • Bears vs. Packers spread: Packers -10
  • Bears vs. Packers over-under: 41.5 points
  • Bears vs. Packers money line: Bears +360, Packers -480
  • CHI: Over is 4-0 in the Bears’ last four games as road underdogs
  • GB: Packers are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games after scoring fewer than 15 points in their previous game 
  • Bears vs. Packers picks: See picks here

Featured Game | Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears

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Why the Packers can cover

Green Bay is led by future Hall of Fame quarterback Aaron Rodgers, who completed 22 of 34 passes (64.7 percent) for 195 yards and one interception last week at Minnesota. Like this year, Rodgers had a slow start to the 2021 season, but finished as the league’s MVP. In 16 games played a year ago, Rodgers completed 366 of 531 attempts (68.9 percent) for 4,115 yards and 37 touchdowns against four interceptions for a rating of 111.9. He has passed for more than 4,000 yards in each of his last four seasons.

Also leading the offense is the running back tandem of Aaron Jones and A.J. Dillon. Although the two combined for just 15 carries against the Vikings, they had nearly 100 yards rushing and a score. Jones carried five times for 49 yards (9.8 average), including one explosive play of 29 yards. Dillon carried 10 times for 45 yards and a touchdown and also led the team with five receptions for 46 yards and two first-down conversions.

Why the Bears can cover 

Despite that, the Packers are not a lock to cover the Bears vs. Packers spread. That’s because Chicago is led by quarterback Justin Fields. Last week against the 49ers, Fields had two touchdowns against one interception for an 85.7 rating and added 28 rushing yards. He is looking for his 10th start in a row with 20 or more yards rushing. In his last meeting against Green Bay, Fields had two touchdown passes and rushed for 74 yards.

Running back David Montgomery was also a big reason for Chicago’s win over San Francisco in the season-opener. Montgomery had 50 yards from scrimmage, including 26 receiving, in Week 1. In five career games against the Packers, he has 450 yards from scrimmage. Montgomery also had 50-plus scrimmage yards in his seven road games last year.

How to make Bears vs. Packers picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the point total. In fact, it says Chicago quarterback Justin Fields will have more than 215 total yards from scrimmage, while Green Bay quarterback Aaron Rodgers will throw for more than 250 yards and two touchdowns. It also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only get the model’s SNF picks at SportsLine

So who wins Packers vs. Bears on Sunday Night Football? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Packers vs. Bears spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up nearly $7,500 on its NFL picks since 2017, and find out.

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