Thursday, October 6, 2022

Texas vs. UTSA odds, line, spread: 2022 college football picks, Week 3 predictions from proven model

The No. 21 Texas Longhorns will wrap up their three-game homestand to open the season when they face the UTSA Roadrunners on Saturday night. Texas had a chance to pull off a huge upset against No. 1 Alabama last week, but it came up just short in a 20-19 final. UTSA bounced back from a triple-overtime loss to then-No. 24 Houston with a 41-38 win at Army in overtime.

Kickoff is set for 8 p.m. ET. The Longhorns are 12.5-point favorites in the latest Texas vs. UTSA odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 57.5. Before entering any UTSA vs. Texas picks, you’ll want to see the college football predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,400 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It enters Week 3 of the 2022 college football season on a 50-41 run on all top-rated college football spread and money-line picks that dates back to 2021. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Texas vs. UTSA. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football odds for UTSA vs. Texas:

  • Texas vs. UTSA spread: Texas -12.5
  • Texas vs. UTSA over-under: 57.5 points
  • Texas vs. UTSA picks: See picks here

Featured Game | Texas Longhorns vs. UTSA Roadrunners

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What you need to know about Texas

The Longhorns had victory within their grasp but couldn’t quite capture it on Saturday as the team lost 20-19 to the Alabama Crimson Tide. Running back Bijan Robinson put forth a good effort for the losing side as he punched in one rushing touchdown. Robinson would finish the game with 130 scrimmage yards on the day.

The Longhorns lost starting quarterback Quinn Ewers to a shoulder injury in the loss to Alabama and he’s out indefinitely. Hudson Card went 14-of-22 for 158 yards after replacing Ewers but he could be a game-time decision as he’s battling an ankle injury. Expect a heavy dose of Robinson on Saturday with Texas facing the prospects of playing Card injured or using their third-string quarterback.

What you need to know about UTSA

Texas is not only having to overcome the emotional hurdle from its loss to Alabama, but it is also dealing with several key injuries. The Longhorns lost Ewers, while Card (ankle) and preseason All-America running back Bijan Robinson (shoulder) are both dealing with injuries of their own. UTSA will be motivated to pull off an upset against the big-name, in-state school after rallying from a 14-point deficit at Army last week.

The Roadrunners are the reigning Conference USA champions and have covered the spread at a 13-5 clip over their last 18 games. Quarterback Frank Harris threw for 359 yards and three touchdowns against Army, including the game-winner to De’Corian Clark in overtime. Texas has only covered the spread three times in its last nine games, which is another factor pointing to UTSA being the best pick on Saturday night. 

How to make Texas vs. UTSA picks

The model has simulated Texas vs. UTSA 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over on the total and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in more than 60% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins UTSA vs. Texas? And which side of the spread cashes in more than 60% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the UTSA vs. Texas spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that finished the past six-plus years up nearly $3,400 on its FBS college football picks, and find out.  

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