Wednesday, September 28, 2022

Twins vs. Guardians odds, prediction, line: 2022 MLB picks, Monday, Sept. 19 best bets from proven model

The Cleveland Guardians can all but put Minnesota’s playoff hopes to rest with a victory over the Twins on Monday in a key American League Central matchup. The Guardians (79-67) lead the division by 3 ½ games over the Chicago White Sox and six games over Minnesota. The Twins (73-73), who have lost three of four, have dropped eight of their last nine games against Cleveland. The Guardians have won 12 of the 18 matchups between the teams this season.

The game is slated to begin at 1:10 p.m. ET from Progressive Field in Cleveland. The Guardians enter the game with the 10th-best team batting average in MLB at .251, while the Twins are 12th with a .248 mark. Cleveland is the -120 favorite (risk $120 to win $100) on the money line in the latest Twins vs. Guardians odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total runs scored is 7. Before making any Guardians vs. Twins picks, be sure to see the MLB predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times, and it is a 321-272 on top-rated MLB money-line picks since the start of the 2021 season, returning more than $600 for $100 bettors during that span. This is the same model that pegged the 2021 Atlanta Braves at 10-1 as one of three best bets to win it all last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen profitable returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Twins vs. Guardians and revealed its coveted picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine to see all of the model’s MLB picks. Here are several MLB odds and trends for Guardians vs. Twins:

  • Twins vs. Guardians money line: Minnesota +100, Cleveland -120
  • Twins vs. Guardians over/under: 7 runs
  • Twins vs. Guardians run line: Twins -1.5 (+180)
  • MIN: The Twins are 35-16 in their last 51 Monday games
  • CLE: The Guardians are 8-2 in their last 10 games
  • Twins vs. Guardians picks: See picks at SportsLine

Featured Game | Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins

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Why you should back the Guardians

Cleveland has had Minnesota’s number all season, as has center fielder Steven Kwan. Kwan, who was 5-for-11 with a double and three runs scored in Saturday’s doubleheader sweep over the Twins, is hitting .318 on the season against Minnesota pitching. That includes two doubles, one triple and one homer with three RBI for a .424 slugging percentage. For the season, Kwan is batting .289 with four homers, 39 RBIs and 75 runs scored. He should be fresh for Monday’s game after getting a rest day off on Sunday.

Also leading the Guardians’ offense is third baseman Jose Ramirez. Since Sept. 9, he has hits in eight of 11 games, including a 3-for-4 performance against the Twins on Sept. 10. He is batting .281 against Minnesota in 142 career games, including 41 doubles, 21 homers and 69 RBIs. For the season, Ramirez is batting .278 with 28 homers, 112 RBIs and 80 runs scored.

Why you should back the Twins

Minnesota, which is desperate for wins, will send right-hander Sonny Gray (8-4, 2.83 ERA) to the hill. Gray was brilliant in his last start, a 4-0 win over Kansas City. In that outing, he allowed just three hits and one walk, while striking out eight in seven innings of work. For the season, he has struck out 116, while walking 35. In 14 career starts against the Guardians, he is 6-3 with a 3.16 ERA, allowing 28 earned runs, 65 hits and 82 strikeouts against 30 walks in 79 2/3 innings.

Offensively, the Twins’ Carlos Correa has been on a tear with hits in 13 of his past 15 games, including a 3-for-5 performance in Sunday’s 3-0 win. In his last seven games against Cleveland, he is 12-for-32 (.375) with one homer and four RBI. In 50 career games vs. the Guardians, he is hitting .270 with eight doubles, 10 homers and 24 RBI. For the season, Correa is a .283 batter with 21 homers, 58 RBI and 65 runs scored.

How to make Guardians vs. Twins picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 7.6 combined runs. It also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get the model’s MLB picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Twins vs. Guardians? And which side has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its MLB picks, and find out.

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