Wednesday, October 5, 2022

Air Force vs. Nevada odds, prediction, line, spread: 2022 Week 4 college football picks by model on 51-43 run

A Mountain West conference battle is on tap with the Nevada Wolf Pack (2-2) going on the road to play the Air Force Falcons (2-1) on Friday night. Nevada has dropped two straight games after starting the season off 2-0. Last week, the Wolf Pack fell to Iowa 27-0. Air Force also fell in its last contest, losing 17-14 to Wyoming last week. Air Force leads the all-time series 4-2. 

Kickoff from Falcon Stadium is set for 8 p.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Falcons as 24-point favorites in its latest Nevada vs. Air Force odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 46.5. Before making any Air Force vs. Nevada picks, be sure to check out the college football predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of more than $3,300 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It enters Week 4 of the 2022 college football season on a 51-43 run on all top-rated college football spread and money-line picks that dates back to 2021. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Nevada vs. Air Force and just revealed its picks and CFB predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Now, here are several college football odds and betting lines for Air Force vs. Nevada:

  • Nevada vs. Air Force spread: Falcons -24 
  • Nevada vs. Air Force over/under: 46.5 points  
  • Nevada vs. Air Force money line: Falcons -4000, Wolf Pack +1450 
  • NEV: Wolf Pack are 5-0 ATS in their last five games on grass 
  • AFA: Falcons are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall 
  • Nevada vs. Air Force picks: See picks here

Featured Game | Air Force Falcons vs. Nevada Wolf Pack

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Why Air Force can cover

Air Force has a dominant ground attack. This offensive line consistently creates gapping holes for ball carriers to burst through. They rank first in the nation with 396 rushing yards per game with a whopping 6.9 yards per carry. Air Force has the strength to wear out opposing defenses over the span of four quarters. 

Senior running back Brad Roberts is the workhorse in the backfield for the Falcons. Roberts is tough to tackle with the strength barrel through defenders. The Colorado native is leading the team with 48 carries for 342 yards and four touchdowns. He’s also logging 7.1 yards per carry. In Week 2 against Colorado, Roberts had 24 carries for 174 yards with three touchdowns. 

Why Nevada can cover

The Wolf Pack defense is filled with fast, physical and dynamic difference makers. They have started the 2022 campaign strong, ranking sixth in the Mountain West in total yards allowed (384.5) and rushing yards allowed per game (111.5). Nevada’s defenders consistently swarm the ball carrier and wrap them up quickly.

Senior defensive back Tyson Williams is always around the ball. Williams is a reliable and solid tackler with good awareness. The Alabama native currently leads the team in total tackles (26) with one sack and one interception. In his Week 3 outing, he recorded 11 total stops along with a forced fumble. 

How to make Nevada vs. Air Force picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Over on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 50 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60% of simulations. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine

So who wins Nevada vs. Air Force? And which side of the spread hits in almost 60% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.

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