Tuesday, September 27, 2022

Boise State vs. UTEP odds, prediction, spread: 2022 Week 4 college football picks by model on 51-43 run

The UTEP Miners seek their first victory in the all-time series when they host the Boise State Broncos on Friday. UTEP has lost all six of its previous meetings with Boise State, beginning with a 38-23 defeat in the 2000 Humanitarian Bowl. The Miners (1-3), who suffered a 27-10 loss at New Mexico on Saturday, have been outscored by at least 15 points in all six matchups. The Broncos (2-1) are looking to post their third consecutive victory after rolling past UT Martin 30-7 last weekend.

Kickoff at the Sun Bowl in El Paso, Tex. is set for 9 p.m. ET on CBS Sports Network. The Broncos are 16-point favorites in the latest Boise State vs. UTEP odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 44.5. Before making any UTEP vs. Boise State picks, you need to see the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of more than $3,300 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It enters Week 4 of the 2022 college football season on a 51-43 run on all top-rated college football spread and money-line picks that dates back to 2021. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Boise State vs. UTEP and just locked in its picks and CFB predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the college football odds and betting lines for UTEP vs. Boise State: 

  • Boise State vs. UTEP spread: Broncos -16
  • Boise State vs. UTEP over/under: 44.5 points 
  • Boise State vs. UTEP money line: Broncos -700, Miners +500
  • BSU: The Broncos are 0-5 against the spread in their last five games following a straight-up win by more than 20 points 
  • UTEP: The Miners are 1-6 ATS in their last seven home contests against teams with winning road records 
  • Boise State vs. UTEP picks: See picks here

Featured Game | UTEP Miners vs. Boise State Broncos

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Why Boise State can cover

The Broncos had a strong first half against UT Martin on Saturday, building a 20-7 lead while gaining 251 of their 327 total yards in the game. George Holani played a major role in the victory as he rushed 24 times for 110 yards and a touchdown, hauled in four passes for 47 yards and a score and returned five punts for 69 yards. The 100-yard rushing performance by the redshirt junior was the eighth of his career.

Quarterback Hank Bachmeier spread the ball around against the Skyhawks, completing 18 passes to nine different receivers. The senior made a pair of touchdown tosses to increase his career total to 40, moving him into eighth place on Boise State’s all-time list. Bachmeier is tied for sixth in school history with 21 200-yard passing efforts after registering 204 versus UT Martin.

Why UTEP can cover

The Miners struggled against the run in Saturday’s setback, allowing the Lobos to gain 188 yards on the ground, but defended the pass well. UTEP limited New Mexico to 111 yards through the air and did not allow a passing touchdown. It also got to Lobos quarterback Miles Kendrick twice, with Cal Wallerstedt registering both sacks.

The redshirt junior linebacker leads the Miners with three sacks on the season, which also are the first three of his career. Wallerstedt is first in Conference USA with 5.5 tackles for loss, which place him 13th in the nation. UTEP has scored more than 13 points just once in four games despite showing an ability to move the ball as it is tied for 12th in the country with 82 first downs.

How to make Boise State vs. UTEP picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Over the total. In fact, it says Bachmeier comes up with a big performance, throwing for more than 270 yards and two touchdowns. It also has generated an against-the-spread pick that cashes in well over 50% of simulations. You can only get the model’s pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Boise State vs. UTEP? And which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the UTEP vs. Boise State spread to back, all from the advanced model that is up more than $3,300 on its top-rated college football spread picks, and find out.

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