Wednesday, June 19, 2024

Texas A&M vs. Arkansas odds, line: 2022 college football picks, Week 4 predictions from proven computer model

The No. 23 Texas A&M Aggies will be looking to open SEC play on a high note when they face the No. 10 Arkansas Razorbacks on Saturday night. Texas A&M was stunned by Appalachian State two weeks ago, but bounced back for a win over Miami (Fla.) last week. Arkansas is off to a 3-0 start following its 38-27 win over Missouri State last week. 

Kickoff is set for 7 p.m. ET. The Aggies are 2-point favorites in the latest Texas A&M vs. Arkansas odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 51. Before entering any Arkansas vs. Texas A&M picks, you’ll want to see the college football predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of more than $3,300 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It enters Week 4 of the 2022 college football season on a 51-43 run on all top-rated college football spread and money-line picks that dates back to 2021. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Texas A&M vs. Arkansas. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football odds for Arkansas vs. Texas A&M:

  • Texas A&M vs. Arkansas spread: Texas A&M -2
  • Texas A&M vs. Arkansas over/under: 51 points
  • Texas A&M vs. Arkansas picks: See picks here

Featured Game | Texas A&M Aggies vs. Arkansas Razorbacks

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Why Texas A&M can cover

Texas A&M showed some resiliency last week when it bounced back from a loss to Appalachian State with a 17-9 win over then-No. 13 Miami. The Aggies have one of the best defenses in the country, ranked ninth in the FBS in points allowed per game (8.7). Their offense should show continued improvement after head coach Jimbo Fisher promoted LSU transfer Max Johnson to starting quarterback. 

Fisher suspended four players due to a violation of team rules last week, but they are all set to return for this game. Wide receiver Evan Stewart, who had 10 receptions for 105 yards in the first two games of the season, was among those suspended. Texas A&M has won nine of the last 10 meetings between these teams, and it only needs to win by a field goal to cover the spread on Saturday night. 

Why Arkansas can cover

Arkansas got off to an excellent start this season when it picked up a win over a ranked Cincinnati team, and it has built on that performance with wins over South Carolina and Missouri State. The Razorbacks have one of the top offenses in the SEC, averaging 37.7 points per game. Their defense leads the country in sacks and ranks seventh in run defense, so it will be tough for a one-dimensional Texas A&M offense to move the ball. 

Linebacker Drew Sanders is tied for second nationally with five sacks and will be putting pressure on Johnson, who is making just his second start for the Aggies. He completed just 10 of 20 passes against Miami last week, which is not going to be enough against a strong Arkansas offense. The Razorbacks have covered the spread in five of their last six games and are on a five-game winning streak. 

How to make Arkansas vs. Texas A&M picks

The model has simulated Texas A&M vs. Arkansas 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Under on the total, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Arkansas vs. Texas A&M? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Texas A&M vs. Arkansas spread you need to jump on Saturday, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.

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