Tuesday, June 25, 2024

2022 MLB playoffs: Mariners vs. Blue Jays odds, line, Wild Card Series Game 1 picks, predictions by top model

The 2022 MLB Playoffs begin on Friday with a full slate of baseball action. In the American League, the Seattle Mariners and Toronto Blue Jays begin a three-game Wild Card Series. Toronto hosts the proceedings as the No. 4 seed against the No. 5 seed from Seattle. The Mariners broke the longest playoff drought in MLB with 90 wins, while the Blue Jays produced 92 victories this season.  Luis Castillo (8-6, 2.99 ERA) is starting for Seattle, while Alek Manoah (16-7, 2.24 ERA) gets the nod for Toronto.

First pitch is at 4:07 p.m. ET in Toronto. Caesars Sportsbook lists Toronto as a -135 favorite on the money line, while the over/under, or total number of runs Vegas thinks will be scored, is 7 in the latest Mariners vs. Blue Jays odds. Before you make any Mariners vs. Blue Jays picks, you need to see the MLB predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s advanced computer simulation model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times, and it entered the final week of the regular season on an 18-8 run on top-rated money-line MLB picks, returning almost $700 for $100 players. This is the same model that pegged the 2021 Atlanta Braves at 10-1 as one of three best bets to win it all last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Mariners vs. Blue Jays and just locked in its picks and MLB playoff predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Now, here are several MLB odds and betting lines for Mariners vs. Blue Jays:

  • Mariners vs. Blue Jays money line: Blue Jays -135, Mariners +115 
  • Mariners vs. Blue Jays over/under: 7 runs 
  • Mariners vs. Blue Jays run line: Blue Jays -1.5 
  • SEA: The Mariners are 44-37 in road games 
  • TOR: The Blue Jays are 47-34 in home games 
  • Mariners vs. Blue Jays picks: See picks here

Featured Game | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners

Powered by Caesars Sportsbook

Why you should back the Mariners

Seattle will deploy a tremendous starting pitcher in Luis Castillo. The two-time All-Star has a 2.99 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP this season, and Castillo has 4.53 strikeouts for every walk since being traded to the Mariners midseason. Opponents have a .611 OPS against Castillo this season, and he has a 52.7% ground ball rate for his career. When Castillo leaves the game, Seattle’s bullpen is also stout, posting a 3.33 ERA with 9.65 strikeouts and only 2.99 walks per nine innings.

On the offensive end, Seattle is incredibly patient, ranking No. 2 in the American League with 596 walks this season. The Mariners are also in the top five with 197 home runs, and ranks above the American League average in stolen bases, OPS, and triples for the 2022 campaign.

Why you should back the Blue Jays

Toronto is incredibly potent on offense and that should be an advantage against Seattle in this game. The Blue Jays led the American League in several offensive categories, including hits, batting average, on-base percentage, slugging percentage, OPS, and total bases. Five players blasted at least 24 home runs for Toronto this season, and the Blue Jays were No. 3 in the league in home runs. 

Toronto was also No. 2 in the AL in runs and doubles in 2022, with top-five marks in walks and strikeout avoidance. In contrast, Seattle falls short in a few key offensive categories. The Mariners finished No. 14 in hits, No. 12 in doubles, No. 12 in strikeout avoidance, and No. 14 in batting average among American League clubs this season.

How to make Mariners vs. Blue Jays picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Over on the run total, and it says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get the model’s MLB postseason picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Mariners vs. Blue Jays? And which side has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of Mariners vs. Blue Jays you need to jump on Friday, all from the model that has crushed its MLB picks, and find out.

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