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Eagles vs. Chiefs prediction, spread, line, odds, start time: Super Bowl 57 picks by NFL model on 17-6 roll

The Kansas City Chiefs will play for the Lombardi Trophy for the third time in four years when they square off against the Philadelphia Eagles in Super Bowl 57 on Sunday, Feb.12. Kansas City (16-3) ended a 49-year drought when it defeated San Francisco in 2019 for the second title in franchise history and returned to the Super Bowl the following year, but lost to Tampa Bay. Philadelphia (16-3) is making its first appearance since 2017, when it beat New England to win the Vince Lombardi Trophy for the first time. Super Bowl Sunday 2023 marks the final game of the 2023 NFL playoffs.

Kickoff from State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Ariz. is set for 6:30 p.m. ET. Philadelphia is a 1.5-point favorite in the latest Eagles vs. Chiefs odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 51. Before locking in any Chiefs vs. Eagles picks, make sure you see the latest NFL predictions from SportsLine’s proven projection model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters the 2023 Super Bowl on an incredible 163-113 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 17-6 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of this season and identified both the Eagles and Chiefs as its value Super Bowl picks at the beginning of the 2023 NFL playoffs.

The model ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has set its sights on Eagles vs. Chiefs in Super Bowl 57. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the NFL odds from Caesars Sportsbook and trends for Chiefs vs. Eagles:

  • Eagles vs. Chiefs spread: Philadelphia -1.5
  • Eagles vs. Chiefs over/under: 51 points
  • Eagles vs. Chiefs money line: Philadelphia -125, Kansas City +105
  • PHI: Eagles are 7-2 against the spread in their last nine playoff games
  • KC: Chiefs have covered in their last three meetings with Philadelphia
  • Eagles vs. Chiefs picks: See picks here

Why the Eagles can cover

Philadelphia has dominated opponents thus far in the 2023 NFL playoffs, winning its two contests by a total of 55 points. The Eagles were in control of both games by halftime, as they led the New York Giants 28-0 in their 38-7 Divisional Round triumph and were ahead 21-7 against San Francisco in the NFC Championship Game before finishing with a 31-7 victory. With those performances, they became the first team in NFL history to score at least 30 points and allow fewer than 10 in back-to-back postseason contests.

After ranking fifth with an average of 147.6 yards on the ground and leading the league with 32 rushing touchdowns during the regular season, Philadelphia showcased its run game in the playoffs. The Eagles rushed for 268 yards and three TDs against the Giants before registering 148 yards and four scores on the ground versus the 49ers. The Eagles’ seven rushing touchdowns match the combined total by the seven other teams that participated in the last rounds this postseason. See which team to pick here.

Why the Chiefs can cover

Patrick Mahomes‘ mobility was limited in the AFC Championship Game due to a high-ankle sprain, but his arm was in strong form, as he threw for 326 yards and two touchdowns in the 23-20 victory against Cincinnati. The 27-year-old, who led the NFL with 41 TD passes during the regular season, has made multiple scoring throws in six of his last seven contests. Conversely, Mahomes has thrown just one interception over his last six outings.

In 13 career playoff games, Mahomes has completed 66.7% of his pass attempts for 3,902 yards with 32 touchdowns and seven interceptions. He will try to redeem himself after a subpar effort in Super Bowl 55, a 31-9 loss to the Buccaneers in which he was 26-of-49 for 270 yards with two picks and no TD tosses. Mahomes is hoping to come up with a performance similar to the one he had a year earlier, when he threw for two scores and ran for another en route to being named Super Bowl MVP in the Chiefs’ 31-20 win against the 49ers. See which team to pick here.

How to make Eagles vs. Chiefs picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Under the total, calling for 48 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread cashes in over 50% of simulations. You can only see the model’s picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Chiefs vs. Eagles in Super Bowl 57? And which side of the spread cashes more than 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Chiefs vs. Eagles spread to be all over in the 2023 Super Bowl, all from the advanced model that is up well over $7,000 on its top-rated NFL picks, and find out.

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