Monday, October 2, 2023

UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill prediction, odds, picks, start time: Fight card best bets from top MMA expert

For the first time in nearly three years, the UFC will return to Brazil on Saturday and UFC 283 includes several of its countrymen as former champion Glover Teixeira attempts to reclaim the light heavyweight title against rising star Jamahal Hill in the main event. Their matchup bookends a title-fight double header to close the curtain on the main UFC 283 fight card (10 p.m. ET) from Jeunesse Arena in Rio de Janeiro. The UFC last visited Brazil with a Fight Night event in March 2020 just before the onset of the global pandemic. The country’s rich fighting history is celebrated on the UFC 283 card with a native in the No. 2-ranked Teixeira headlining, along with numerous other Brazilian combatants taking the cage before an adoring home crowd. The No. 7-ranked Hill will try to spoil Teixeira’s homecoming in his first title-fight appearance.

Caesars Sportsbook lists Hill as the -125 favorite (risk $125 to win $100), while Teixeira comes back at +105 in the latest UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill odds. In the co-main event, flyweight champion Deiveson Figueiredo (-105) faces nemesis Brandon Moreno (-115) in the fourth meeting between the rivals. Before making any UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill picks, make sure you see the MMA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine expert Kyle Marley

Marley won the first-ever “ToutMaster” UFC betting contest sponsored by MMAOddsBreaker and appears regularly on multiple MMA betting and daily Fantasy shows. He watches every single fight for every professional MMA card and does extensive research before each event. 

Over the past four years, $100 bettors who have followed Marley’s picks are up nearly $12,000. Last year, the accomplished MMA analyst launched the UFC season in January by advising SportsLine members to support Calvin Kattar (+200) against Giga Chikadze (-240) in the featherweight main event. Kattar’s lopsided unanimous-decision victory gave Marley’s followers another easy winner. Anyone who has followed him has seen massive returns.  

Now, with UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill in sight, Marley has studied the card from top to bottom and revealed his top picks and best bets. You can only see Marley’s MMA picks at SportsLine.

UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill preview 

The matchup of Teixeira vs. Hill was hastily put together on six weeks’ notice after the promotion’s previous plans for the light heavyweight division didn’t work out as hoped. At UFC 282 in December, Magomed Ankalaev and former champion Jan Blachowicz met for the interim title and the fight ended in a rare split draw, leaving the title without a claim. 

UFC president Dana White, apparently unimpressed with either fighter’s performance, announced afterward that a rematch would not be booked and he would instead turn his attention to planning Teixeira vs. Hill for the vacant title. 

Teixeira seemed an obvious choice for an opportunity because he was ahead on the scorecards against Prochazka (33-8) before losing by submission at the 4:32 mark of the fifth round. Their wild back-and-forth affair won numerous Fight of the Year honors from MMA media outlets. 

Hill (11-1-1) was viewed as a bit of a surprise selection by some MMA observers, but his profile was on the rise because his last four wins have all come by stoppage. In his UFC headlining debut last August, he stopped former title challenger Thiago Santos in the fourth round. You can see who Marley is backing here.

Top UFC 283 expert picks

We’ll share one of Marley’s UFC 283 selections here: He is siding with Gilbert Burns (-455) to earn a victory against Neil Magny (+345) in a matchup of veteran welterweight contenders on the main card.

The No. 5-ranked Burns (20-5) is a nine-year UFC veteran who has emerged as one of the most dangerous and versatile fighters in the welterweight division. He has won seven of his past nine fights, and the only losses came against world-class competition. The 36-year-old Brazilian fell to Kamaru Usman in a title shot in which he had the former champion in trouble early, and also dropped a razor-thin decision against rising star and No. 3-ranked Khamzat Chimaev last April.

The No. 12-ranked Magny (27-9) is one of the most accomplished fighters in the history of the UFC to have never won or competed for a title. The 35-year-old Brooklyn holds numerous welterweight records and is tied for most victories by a UFC fighter in a calendar year with five. He has won three of his last four and is coming off a submission of rising prospect Daniel Rodriguez in November.

“I think Burns is the better and more dangerous striker. He’s also great on the ground and can finish the fight there. This is a high price tag, but I like Burns to get it done,” Marley told SportsLine. See who else to pick here.

How to make UFC 283 picks 

Marley also has strong picks for UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill and every other bout on the UFC 283 card. He’s also backing a fighter who “has the edge with volume” to emerge with a big victory. Marley’s expert picks and analysis are only available at SportsLine

Who wins UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill? And how exactly does each fight end? Visit SportsLine now to get detailed picks on every fight at UFC 283, all from the incomparable expert who’s up nearly $12,000 on MMA in the past four years, and find out. 

UFC 283 odds, fight card

See full UFC 283 picks, predictions, best bets here.

Jamahal Hill (-125) vs. Glover Teixeira (+105)

Brandon Moreno (-115) vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (-105)

Gilbert Burns (-455) vs. Neil Magny (+345)

Jessica Andrade (-550) vs. Lauren Murphy (+400)

Johnny Walker (-190) vs. Paul Craig (+160)

Ihor Potieria (-215) vs. Mauricio Rua (+180)

Gabriel Bonfim (-180) vs. Mounir Lazzez (+155)

Jailton Almeida (-950) vs. Shamil Almeida (+650)

Cody Stamann (-350) vs. Luan Lacerda (+275)

Terrance McKinney (-125) vs. Ismael Bonfim (+105)

Warlley Alves (-120) vs. Nicolas Dalby (+100)

Josiane Nunes (-550) vs. Zarah Fairn (+400)

Saimon Oliveira (-160) vs. Daniel Marcos (+140)

Thiago Moises (-320) vs. Melquizael Costa (+250)

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