The Green Bay Packers will seek revenge on Thursday Night Football at Lambeau Field. The Packers will host the Detroit Lions in the first of two regular season matchups between noted rivals. Green Bay has dropped three straight to Detroit, including a Week 18 loss last season that knocked the Packers out of the NFL playoff picture. Both teams are 2-1 overall this season, with Green Bay opening its home schedule with a win and Detroit winning its only road game to date.
Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET on Thursday at Lambeau Field. The latest Lions vs. Packers odds list Detroit as a two-point favorite and the over/under for total points scored at 45. Before you make any Packers vs. Lions picks, you need to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s advanced computer model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 4 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 167-117 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It also is on an 21-9 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has simulated Lions vs. Packers 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NFL picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Packers vs. Lions:
- Lions vs. Packers spread: Detroit -2
- Lions vs. Packers Over/Under: 45 points
- Lions vs. Packers money line: Detroit -130, Green Bay +110
- DET: Lions are 10-2 ATS in their past 12 NFC North matchups
- GB: Packers are 11-2 ATS as underdogs since the 2021 season
- Lions vs. Packers picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why the Lions can cover
Detroit’s defense is operating at an above-average level, headlined by a top-eight mark in yards allowed per play (4.6) this season. The Lions are still led by a dynamic offense, however, and that group has keyed Detroit to 10 wins in the last 13 games. Jared Goff ranks firmly in the top 10 in several passing categories, including passing touchdowns, passer rating, completion rate, and passing yards.
Goff’s strong play is aided by the presence of Amon-Ra St. Brown, who is one of the best wide receivers in the game today. St. Brown caught nine passes for 102 yards in Week 3, marking his second straight 100-yard game. He is in the top 10 of the NFL in receptions (21) and yards (275) so far this season. He ranks in the top eight with 12.7 yards per touch and was No. 7 in the NFL with 106 catches last season. The partnership between Goff and St. Brown has been fruitful for Detroit’s overall offense, as the Lions have scored 20 or more points in 12 straight games, the longest streak in the NFL. See who to back at SportsLine.
Why the Packers can cover
Green Bay was missing five starters in Week 3, but still rallied for an 18-17 victory against the Saints. The Packers are hoping to have Aaron Jones back from a hamstring injury. Fellow running back A.J. Dillon has struggled in his absence, but they combined for nearly 2,500 total yards and 14 touchdowns last season. Their struggles have allowed quarterback Jordan love to get on the same page with his young receivers. Love has turned the ball over once so far.
The first-year starter has 655 passing yards and 74 rushing and has accounted for eight touchdowns. The Packers are plus-two in turnover margin, and the Lions are minus-three. Rookies Jayden Reed (team-high 148 yards) and Luke Musgrave (124) are making an impact, and second-year receiver Romeo Doubs has three TDs. Rashan Gary had three sacks against the Saints, and the defense is allowing fewer than 200 passing yards per game (10th in NFL). See who to back at SportsLine.
How to make Lions vs. Packers picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning Under the total, projecting 43 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in nearly 60% of simulations. You can only see the model’s NFL picks and analysis at SportsLine.
So who wins Packers vs. Lions on Thursday Night Football, and which side of the spread hits almost 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Packers vs. Lions spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $7,000 on top-rated NFL picks, and find out.
