Sunday, July 14, 2024

Packers vs. Raiders odds, line, spread: Monday Night Football picks, predictions from NFL model on 168-118 run

Teams looking to recover from losses will meet when the Green Bay Packers visit the Las Vegas Raiders on Monday Night Football in NFL Week 5. The Packers (2-2) played at home in primetime last week, losing a key NFC North battle to the Detroit Lions, 34-20. Las Vegas (1-3) lost its third straight game last Sunday, falling 24-17 in Los Angeles to the AFC West-rival Chargers. Raiders quarterback Jimmy Garropolo cleared the league’s concussion protocol and will likely return. Green Bay hasn’t lost to the Raiders since 1987, a run of eight straight victories. The most recent matchup was in 2019, a 42-20 Packers victory at Lambeau Field.

Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET in Las Vegas. Las Vegas is a two-point favorite and the over/under for total points scored is 45.5 in the latest Packers vs. Raiders odds. Before you make any Raiders vs. Packers picks, you need to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s advanced computer model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 5 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 168-118 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It also is on a 22-10 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has simulated Packers vs. Raiders 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NFL picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Raiders vs. Packers:

  • Packers vs. Raiders spread: Las Vegas -2
  • Packers vs. Raiders Over/Under: 45.5 points
  • Packers vs. Raiders money line: Green Bay +110, Las Vegas -130
  • GB: Packers are 26-10 ATS in road games since 2020.
  • LV: Raiders are 7-6 ATS as home underdogs since 2020.
  • Packers vs. Raiders picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why the Packers can cover

Green Bay is 7-2 against the spread over its past nine games, going 3-1 this season as an underdog in all four games. The Packers have won six straight Monday Night Football games and have dominated the Raiders. Running back Aaron Jones had just five carries last week, but should get plenty of work against a Las Vegas defense that ranks 26th in allowing 134 rushing yards per game.

The Raiders allow 25.3 points per contest (24th) and score 15.5 (25th). The Packers are 10th in the league in points scored (25 per game) and 20th in scoring defense (24). Packers quarterback Jordan Love (901 yards, eight TDs) has thrown three interceptions in the past two games, but the Raiders have only one takeaway. They own an NFL-worst minus-nine in turnover margin. Las Vegas has allowed 11 sacks in their past two games, so Rashan Gary (3.5 sacks) and Devonte Wyatt (2.5) could have big nights. See who to back at SportsLine.

Why the Raiders can cover

The Packers yield 155 yards per game on the ground, third-most in the NFL, so Josh Jacobs could have a big night. The workhorse running back has 339 total yards, but is averaging just 2.7 per carry. Green Bay is yielding 4.5 per rushing attempt (25th).

Davante Adams will try to have a big game against the team he spent eight seasons with. The wideout is second in Packers history in receptions and receiving yards, but the relationship ended acrimoniously. He is eighth in the NFL with 397 yards and has scored three times. Defensive end Maxx Crosby (four sacks) makes life rough for opposing quarterbacks and could force Love into mistakes. See who to back at SportsLine.

How to make Packers vs. Raiders picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Under the total, projecting 45 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations. You can only see the model’s NFL picks and analysis at SportsLine

So who wins Raiders vs. Packers on Monday Night Football, and which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Raiders vs. Packers spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $7,000 on top-rated NFL picks, and find out.

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