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Broncos vs. Chiefs odds, spread, line: Thursday Night Football picks, NFL predictions from expert who is 16-5

The Kansas City Chiefs will try to extend their winning streak to five games when they square off against the Denver Broncos on Thursday Night Football at Arrowhead Stadium. Since losing to the Lions in the NFL Kickoff game, Kansas City (4-1) has reeled off victories over the Jaguars, Bears, Jets and Vikings. The team’s four-game winning streak is the third longest in the NFL behind the Eagles and 49ers. Meanwhile, one week after winning its first game of the season, at Chicago, Denver (1-4) fell to the Jets, 31-21.

Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET. Kansas City is a 10.5-point favorite in the latest Broncos vs. Chiefs odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 47. Before you make any Chiefs vs. Broncos picks or Thursday Night Football predictions, you need to see what proven SportsLine expert Matt Severance has to say, given his mastery of picks involving Denver.

Severance is a well-connected writer and high-volume handicapper who has worked in the industry since 2005. After joining SportsLine, Matt quickly established himself as a top expert in multiple sports. In Major League Baseball, since the start of the 2021 season, Matt is up $2,840 for $100 bettors. Over the past two NBA seasons, Matt has returned $3,504. And over the past three college basketball seasons, Matt is up $2,704.

Moreover, Severance has a read on the pulse of the Broncos. He is 16-5 on his last 21 picks in games involving Denver. Anyone who has followed him is way up.

Now, White has locked in on Chiefs vs. Broncos from every angle and just locked in his picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Broncos vs. Chiefs: 

  • Broncos vs. Chiefs spread: Kansas City -10.5
  • Broncos vs. Chiefs over/under: 47 points
  • Broncos vs. Chiefs money line: Kansas City -550, Denver +400
  • KC: Chiefs rank seventh in the NFL in total offense (381.0 yards per game)
  • DEN: QB Russell Wilson is fourth in the league in passer rating (106.1)
  • Broncos vs. Chiefs picks: See picks at SportsLine 

Why the Chiefs can cover

Rashee Rice has immediately become a receiving threat for Kansas City. A second round pick out of SMU in April’s NFL Draft, Rice leads the team’s receivers in receptions (17), targets (24) and touchdowns (two). His two receiving touchdowns are tied for second in the league among rookie receivers, behind only Minnesota’s Jordan Addison.

In addition, the Chiefs face a Denver defense that has struggled mightily this season. Through five games, the Broncos have allowed 181 points. That’s tied for the sixth most points allowed through five games of a season in NFL history and bodes well for a Kansas City offense that is averaging 25.6 points per game, ninth best in the league. See which team to back here.

Why the Broncos can cover

Quarterback Russell Wilson is having a solid season for Denver. The Super Bowl-winning quarterback has 11 touchdown passes against just two interceptions this year and owns a passer rating of 106.1, which ranks fourth in the league. Over the last two games he has five passing touchdowns, zero interceptions and a passer rating of 117.8.

In addition, the Broncos have a playmaker in the defensive backfield, Kareem Jackson. The 35-year-old veteran safety has two interceptions this season. That’s tied for fifth most in the league. See which team to pick here.

How to make Chiefs vs. Broncos picks

Severance has analyzed this matchup and while we can tell you he’s leaning Over the point total, he has also discovered a critical X-factor that has him jumping all over one side of the spread. He’s sharing what it is, and which side to back, only at SportsLine.

Who wins Chiefs vs. Broncos on Thursday Night Football, and which critical X-factor makes one side of the spread a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Chiefs vs. Broncos spread hits hard, all from the expert who is on an impressive 16-5 run on picks involving Denver, and find out.

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