Thursday, December 7, 2023

2023 college football Week 11 picks against the spread, betting odds, trends: Top Vegas expert reveals picks

Penn State has struggled against the elite programs in the Big Ten during James Franklin’s tenure as head coach. The Week 11 college football schedule gives the No. 10 Nittany Lions another chance to break this trend when they host No. 3 Michigan on Saturday at noon ET. Penn State is 3-6 against Michigan since 2014 but has won two of its last three games at home against Michigan. The Wolverines are 4.5-point favorites over Penn State in the latest Week 11 college football odds via SportsLine consensus. 

Which side should you back in that matchup when making Week 11 college football bets? No. 2 Georgia (-10.5) hosts No. 9 Ole Miss in a matchup of top-10 teams. Do either of these teams possess value and are worthy of inclusion in Week 11 college football bets? Before locking in any Week 11 college football picks on those games or others, be sure to see the college football betting guide from legendary Vegas handicapper Bruce Marshall

For years Vegas-based Marshall was synonymous with The Gold Sheet, the famed sports betting newsletter. With a background in play-by-play work and sports information while in college, Marshall joined TGS in 1981 when hired by the legendary Mort Olshan and served as executive editor for many years. He now supplies his unique and colorful brand of football and basketball analysis to SportsLine members.

An in-demand guest on numerous sports talk radio and TV shows across the country, Bruce’s vast array of editorial work has been featured in the Las Vegas Review-Journal, the New York Post and many other outlets. He has won various handicapping titles and also is working on several book projects.

Now, using his Tech Corner technique, Marshall has turned his attention to the latest college football odds for Week 11 and evaluated each matchup. Head here to see every pick.

Top college football predictions for Week 11

One of the top college football picks Marshall is recommending for Week 11: Alabama (-10.5) covers at Kentucky in a noon ET SEC matchup. 

Alabama (8-1) has won seven straight contests after losing to Texas in its second game of the season. The Crimson Tide are coming off a 42-28 win over LSU in their second straight 14-point victory. Quarterback Jalen Milroe had his first huge rushing performance of the season, rushing for 155 yards and four touchdowns last week while throwing for 219 yards.

Kentucky last lost three of its last four games and its defense has struggled against the SEC elite. The Wildcats surrendered 40.7 points per game over their last three losses, including allowing 51 points to Georgia. But the Kentucky offense has scored at least 21 points in three straight games. The Crimson Tide are averaging 31.9 points per game this season and this will be another tough offense for Kentucky to contain, which is why Marshall also likes the game to go Over 46 points. See which other picks to make here

How to make college football picks for Week 11

Marshall has evaluated every other matchup and he’s found an alarming 10-1 spread trend that makes one pick a huge value on Saturday. Get betting analysis for each matchup at SportsLine.

So what college football picks can you make with confidence, and what alarming 10-1 trend makes one pick a huge value? Check out the latest college football odds below, then visit SportsLine to see which teams to back, all from the legendary Vegas expert who has won multiple handicapping titles, and find out.

College football odds for top Week 11 games 

See Week 11 college football picks at SportsLine

Thursday, Nov. 9

Virginia vs. Louisville (-20.5, 50.5)

Southern Miss vs. Louisiana (-10, 53)

Friday, Nov. 10

North Texas vs. SMU (-17, 67.5)

Wyoming vs. UNLV (-5.5, 50.5)

Saturday, Nov. 11

Alabama vs. Kentucky (+10.5, 49)

Michigan vs. Penn State (+4.5, 44.5)

Texas Tech vs. Kansas (-3.5, 61)

Arizona vs. Colorado (+10, 55)

Missouri vs. Tennessee (-1, 58.5)

Miami vs. Florida State (-14.5, 50)

Oklahoma State vs. UCF (+2.5, 64)

Utah vs. Washington (-9, 54.5)

Ole Miss vs. Georgia (-11,59)

West Virginia vs. Oklahoma (-12.5, 58)

Michigan State vs. Ohio State (-31.5, 47)

Florida vs. LSU (-13.5, 63.5)

Texas vs. TCU (+10, 53)

USC vs. Oregon (-15, 73.5)

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