Wednesday, July 24, 2024

Bears vs. Panthers odds, line, spread: Thursday Night Football picks, predictions from model on 174-123 roll

The Chicago Bears will hope to cut down on mistakes when they begin Week 10 of the 2023 NFL season by hosting the Carolina Panthers on Thursday Night Football. Chicago (2-7) gave the Saints a tough time in New Orleans last week, but committed five turnovers en route to a 24-17 defeat. Carolina (1-7) also had possession issues in Week 9, as rookie quarterback Bryce Young threw three interceptions, including two that were returned for touchdowns, in a 27-13 loss to Indianapolis. 

Kickoff from Soldier Field is set for 8:15 p.m. ET. Chicago is a 3.5-point favorite in the latest Bears vs. Panthers odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 38. Before making any Panthers vs. Bears picks of your own, you need to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s Advanced Computer Model

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 10 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 174-123 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 28-15 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has set its sights on Bears vs. Panthers and just locked in its picks and Thursday Night Football predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Panthers vs. Bears: 

  • Bears vs. Panthers spread: Chicago -3.5
  • Bears vs. Panthers over/under: 38 points 
  • Bears vs. Panthers money line: Chicago -163, Carolina +138
  • CHI: Bears failed to cover the spread the only previous time they were favorites this year
  • CAR: Panthers are 1-6-1 against the spread this season
  • Bears vs. Panthers picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why the Bears can cover

Whether Justin Fields returns from a dislocated thumb or rookie Tyson Bagent makes his fourth consecutive start for Chicago, receiver D.J. Moore will try to stick it to his former team. The 26-year-old wideout spent five seasons with the Panthers after being taken with the 24th overall pick in the 2018 NFL Draft before being part of a package that was sent to the Bears last March for the 2023 No. 1 draft pick, which Carolina used to select Young. Moore eclipsed the 1,000-yard mark three times with the Panthers and is sixth in the league this year with 735 yards – 191 more than tight end Cole Kmet’s team-leading total in 2022.

Moore posted three 100-yard performances in five games before Fields went down with his injury in Week 6 against Minnesota, including an effort versus Washington in which he recorded a career-high 230 yards and three touchdowns. He’s tied for the team lead in TD catches with Kmet, who had two against the Saints last week to increase his season total to five. The 24-year-old Kmet registered his first career touchdown reception on Oct. 18, 2020 in Chicago’s 23-16 victory at Carolina. See which team to pick here.

Why the Panthers can cover

Bryce Young has a chance to put up big numbers against a Chicago defense that ranks 28th in the NFL against the pass with an average of 256.9 yards allowed. The 22-year-old, who was the first overall pick in this year’s draft, has yet to record a 300-yard performance, but threw for more than 200 in four consecutive outings before being held to 173 by Indianapolis in last week’s 27-13 loss. Young was effective running the ball in that contest, however, gaining a career-high 41 yards on five carries.

Young’s top target has been Adam Thielen, who is sixth in the league with 62 receptions. The 33-year-old wideout leads the Panthers with 610 receiving yards and four touchdown catches and is on his way to his third 1,000-yard season and first since setting a career-high with 1,373 in 2018 with Minnesota. Carolina’s tight ends were very involved in the passing game last week, as Hayden Hurst led the team with 54 receiving yards, while Stephen Sullivan, who is questionable for Thursday with a shoulder issue, hauled in four passes for 28 yards. See which team to pick here.

How to make Bears vs. Panthers picks on TNF

SportsLine’s model is leaning Over the point total, calling for 42 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see the model’s TNF picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Panthers vs. Bears on Thursday Night Football, and which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Panthers vs. Bears spread you need to jump on, all from the model on a 174-123 roll on NFL picks, and find out.

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