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UFC Fight Night prediction — Beneil Dariush vs. Arman Tsarukyan: Fight card, odds, start time, live stream

With the constant churn of near-weekly UFC events, many Fight Night cards fall through the cracks. Saturday’s card in Austin, Texas is not one of those events. Instead, the UFC has loaded up one of the final cards of the year with compelling and meaningful matchups across several divisions.

The main event features a pair of top 10 lightweights when Beneil Dariush clashes with Arman Tsarukyan. Dariush is coming off a June loss to Charles Oliveira. That loss snapped an eight-fight winning streak for Dariush dating back to November 2018. A win over Oliveira would have nearly guaranteed a lightweight title shot for Dariush.

Instead, Dariush is now looking to climb back into the title mix, though it’ll be a tough task with Tsarukyan standing in his way.

Tsarukyan is 7-1 over his eight most recent fights, the lone loss coming to Mateusz Gamrot by decision in June 2022. Gamrot is a common opponent for the two men, with Dariush’s most recent win coming by decision over Gamrot in October 2022.

Since his loss to Gamrot, Tsarukyan has picked up back-to-back wins over Damir Ismagulov and Joaquim Silva and now holds the No. 8 spot in the UFC’s official rankings.

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The co-main event is also a battle of ranked lightweights as No. 12 Jalin Turner takes on No. 13 Bobby Green. The two men have opposite career trajectories entering the fight, with Turner having suffered back-to-back split decision losses against Gamrot and Dan Hooker while Green’s two most recent fights saw him submit Tony Ferguson and knock out Grant Dawson.

There are other big fights throughout the card, including two-time former flyweight champion Deiveson Figueiredo moving up to bantamweight to face Rob Font and Sean Brady clashing with Kelvin Gastelum at welterweight.

Let’s take a closer look at the rest of the undercard with the latest odds before getting to a prediction and expert pick on the main event.

Dariush vs. Tsarukyan fight card, odds

Favorite Underdog Weight class
Arman Tsarukyan -320 Beneil Dariush +250 Lightweight
Jalin Turner -205 Bobby Green +170 Lightweight
Rob Font -145 Deiveson Figueiredo +122 Bantamweight
Sean Brady -125 Kelvin Gastelum +105 Welterweight
Joaquim Silva -320 Clay Guida +250 Lightweight
Punahele Soriano -320 Dustin Stoltzfus +250 Middleweight

Viewing information

  • Date: Dec. 2
  • Location:  Moody Center– Austin, Texas
  • Start time: 7 p.m. ET (main card)
  • How to watch: ESPN | Live stream: Fubo (Try for free)
    For a limited time, new subscribers can save $20 on Fubo’s Pro, Elite and Premier plans.

Prediction

Let’s start by saying the odds feel off for this fight. Tsarukyan as a favorite makes sense, but -320 is incredibly wide for such a close fight and gamblers probably should see some value in Dariush as such a big underdog. Still, Tsarukyan has very good wrestling and a dominant top game. Dariush will have to use counter-wrestling and his underrated jiu jitsu game to sweep and escape when he is put on his back.

Can Dariush do enough on the feet and get off his back when he is taken down? That’s the biggest question heading into the fight. Expect both men to have their moments, but Tsarukyan should eventually wear down Dariush before his top game takes over the fight and carries enough rounds to get the decision. Pick: Arman Tsarukyan via UD

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